IPG Photonics (IPGP)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$62.03-11.52%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · IPGP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
IPGP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-05
shall be deemed to be furnished, and not filed: Exhibit Number Exhibit Description Exhibit 99.1 Press Release issued by IPG Photonics Corporation on May 5 , 2026. Exhibit 99.2 Press Release issued by IPG Photonics Corporation on May 5, 2026. Exhibit 104 Inline XBRL for the cover page of this Current Report on Form 8-K. SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this Current Report on Form 8-K to be signed on its b…
Why it matters: The sector report says tech growth is easing and flags weaker revenue growth. IPG's industrial sales are growing, so the next report can show whether that demand holds.
Worry ifIndustrial Solutions sales fall from the same quarter last year in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifIndustrial Solutions sales grow more than 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Industrial Solutions drove most of Q2 sales and grew 16% year over year. A slowdown would weaken the main source of recent growth.
Watch forIndustrial Solutions sales grow more than 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Also watch forIndustrial Solutions sales fall year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Q2 margin rose to 40.7%, helped by lower costs and $4.7 million in tariff refunds. A sharp drop could show that gains did not last.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted gross margin is below 37.5%, the low end of the range IPG gave.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted gross margin is at or above 40.5%, the high end of the range IPG gave.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$210 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $656 loss on $10,000 · 6.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,490 loss on $10,000 · 54.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.