J.B. Hunt (JBHT)
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$218.99-3.55%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIntegrated Freight & LogisticsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JBHT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -3.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
JBHT — M&A activity — TERMINATION OF A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT See the information set forth in
Dated 2025-12-02
TERMINATION OF A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT See the information set forth in
Why it matters: Q3 operating income rose just 2% despite 20% revenue growth. Another drop would show higher costs remain a drag.
Worry ifQ4 operating income is below $247.1 million, the Q3 2026 result.
Less concerning ifQ4 operating income is at or above $247.1 million.
Why it matters: FMS operating income fell 76% in Q3 as revenue and stops declined. A recovery would show the cost and account changes are helping.
Supportive ifThe next FMS report shows operating income above $1.6 million and stops no longer down year over year.
Worry ifThe next FMS report shows operating income at or below $1.6 million, or stops keep falling year over year.
Why it matters: Intermodal loads rose 8% in Q3, and operating income rose 18%. More load growth can support network gains.
Supportive ifIn the next report, Intermodal loads rise at least 5% year over year. Operating income also tops last year's level.
Worry ifIn the next report, Intermodal loads rise less than 5% year over year, or operating income falls year over year.
Why it matters: DCS revenue rose 11% in Q3, but operating income fell 22%. Costs are taking a larger share of the revenue gain.
Supportive ifThe next DCS report shows operating income at or above the same quarter a year earlier.
Worry ifThe next DCS report shows operating income below the same quarter a year earlier.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $308 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,661 loss on $10,000 · 26.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.