JBT Marel Corporation (JBTM)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
$117.72+0.07%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - MachinerySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JBTM
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 6.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 63 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
JBTM — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 3, 2026 , JBT Marel Corporation (the "Company") issued a press release announcing financial results for its second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information, including Exhibit 99.1, furnished in this report is not deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section. Registration state…
Why it matters: Sustained revenue growth is key for the company's future. Investors want to see if growth can continue after recent improvements.
Supportive ifRevenue growth exceeds 10% year over year in Q2 and Q3.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below 5% year over year in Q2 and Q3.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would show good cost control after the buyout.
Supportive ifThe company reports achieving at least $60 million in synergy cost savings for 2026.
Worry ifThe company does not report any big cost savings for 2026.
Why it matters: Updates on the share buyback can show management's trust in the stock.
Supportive ifManagement says they finished a big part of the $200 million share buyback.
Worry ifManagement says there are delays or cuts in the share buyback program.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show the company's financial health and how well it operates.
Watch forThe earnings report shows more net income and operating income than in Q1 2026.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows a drop in net income and operating income.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$141 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $351 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,171 loss on $10,000 · 31.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A better net income margin means more profits. It also shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifNet income margin improves to at least 5.5% in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet income margin remains below 5.5% in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Progress on the share buyback could show management's trust in the company's value.
Supportive ifAt least $50 million of shares repurchased under the program by the end of 2026.
Worry ifLess than $50 million of shares repurchased by the end of 2026.
Why it matters: Better operations lead to more efficiency and profits. This helps the company's performance.
Supportive ifPrepared Food segment has higher revenue and EBITDA margin in Q3 than in Q2.
Worry ifPrepared Food segment revenue and EBITDA margin fell in Q3 compared to Q2.
Why it matters: This would signal that the company is not meeting its revenue growth target for 2026.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is reported below 5% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 revenue growth meets or exceeds 5% year over year.
Why it matters: A margin below 17% may show problems in operations. This could hurt profits.
Worry ifIn Q3, the adjusted EBITDA margin was below 17%.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin meets or exceeds 17%.