J&J Snack Foods Corp. (JJSF)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$84.11-2.15%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JJSF
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 11 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $84 the market pays 20× p/e — above the 13× p/e peer median but in line with its own 20× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $71 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $91 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $140.06 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $147.47 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $55.60 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $67.62 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 10% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 65% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.83/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $84.11 |
| 8.5 |
| 9.83 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $57.18 | 11.7 | 4.91 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $53.56 | 12.5 | 4.27 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $60.17 | 0.7 | 81.34 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $48.79 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $87.14 | 20.4 | 4.27 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $54.03 | 12.5 | 4.31 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $84.69 | 11.7 | 7.27 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $56.31 | 12.5 | 4.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $61.63 | 0.7 | 83.32 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $91.61 | 20.4 | 4.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $110.03 | 11.7 | 9.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $57.70 | 12.5 | 4.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $63.16 | 0.7 | 85.39 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $93.88 | 20.4 | 4.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |