GEE Group Inc (JOB)
AMEXIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
AMEXIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JOB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -16.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 28.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
JOB — officer change
Dated 2026-06-01
Director — Ms. Darla Moore: Resigned due to time requirements for existing and new business commitments.
Why it matters: Improving operating income shows better cost management. This helps the bottom line.
Supportive ifOperating income improves to a profit or less than -$50K in the next quarter.
Worry ifOperating income worsens or stays worse than -$57K in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better sector performance can help GEE Group. It shows a healthier market for their services.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth speeds up to over 7% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth remains below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher gross margins mean better profits and efficiency.
Supportive ifGross margins improve to above 40% in Q3.
Worry ifGross margins decline below 38% in Q3.
Why it matters: Lower SG&A costs mean higher operating income. This shows better cost management.
Supportive ifSG&A expenses decrease by more than 10% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifSG&A expenses increase or decrease by less than 10% year over year in Q3.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$126 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $392 loss on $10,000 · 3.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,862 loss on $10,000 · 28.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Leadership changes can change the company’s path and stability. This may affect performance.
Worry ifNo more executive departures in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifAnother important leader leaves or is replaced in the next three months.
Why it matters: The Board's declassification is a big change. It shows that management cares about owners.
Supportive ifThe Board will be fully declassified by the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders.
Worry ifThe Board will stay classified after the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders.
Why it matters: Better cash flow means the company is more efficient and healthier financially.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations is over $332 thousand next quarter.
Worry ifNet cash from operations stays below $332 thousand next quarter.
Why it matters: Good AI integration can make recruiting faster and cheaper. This affects overall performance.
Supportive ifManagement reports better recruiting due to AI tools.
Worry ifNo big updates on AI use in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Better operating income means the company is controlling costs well. This can lead to lasting profits.
Supportive ifOperating income goes up from -$57,000 in Q2 2026 compared to Q1.
Worry ifOperating income gets worse or stays negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better performance in the sector could help GEE Group's business outlook.
Supportive ifSector performance improves from maturing to a growth phase.
Worry ifSector performance keeps going down or stays the same.
Why it matters: Looking at M&A chances may change the company plan and value for owners.
Watch forManagement announces a clear M&A deal or partnership from this review.
Also watch forNo updates or progress on strategic options in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A key director's resignation may change how the company is run.
Worry ifNext quarter, we do not see any negative effects on company performance.
Less concerning ifBoard changes may lead to negative effects on governance or performance.
Why it matters: An increase in job orders and placements is key for growth. It shows demand for services is rising.
Supportive ifJob orders and placements increase by more than 10% quarter over quarter.
Worry ifJob orders and placements decline or stay flat for two consecutive quarters.
Why it matters: More direct hire placements show higher demand and better profits for GEE Group.
Supportive ifDirect hire placement revenue increases by more than 10% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifDirect hire placement revenue growth is less than 10% year over year in Q3.