JPMorgan Chase (JPM)
NYSEFinancialsBanks - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$358.64-0.94%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsBanks - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · JPM
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $359 the market pays 2.6× p/b — above the 1.3× p/b peer median but in line with its own 2× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $312 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Analysts target $305–$420. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $363 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $370.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $1941.41 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $1525.72 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $87.38 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$305.00 – $420.00 (median $370.00) · 15 analysts · as of 2026-08-14
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $261.03 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $186.39 | 1.3 | 139.04 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $353.58 | 11.1 | 31.96 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $279.09 | 11.2 | 25.03 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $210.95 | 2.9 | 73.30 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $470.88 | 21.6 | 21.78 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $171.74 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $339.16 | 15.6 | 21.78 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $279.57 | 12.4 | 22.54 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $238.84 | 1.3 | 178.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $367.58 | 11.2 | 32.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $251.37 | 2.9 | 87.35 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $712.67 | 21.6 | 32.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $513.31 | 15.6 | 32.96 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $281.78 | 1.3 | 210.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $412.01 | 11.2 | 36.95 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $281.76 | 2.9 | 97.91 | Analyst | high |
| PEG | 5Y | $798.81 | 21.6 | 36.95 | Analyst | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $575.36 | 15.6 | 36.95 | Analyst | high |