Kyndryl (KD)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$13.15-1.42%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -5.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 38 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KD — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: A decline may show problems in financial management. This could affect Kyndryl's growth plans.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is above $400 million. This shows financial health.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations falls below $400 million. This raises concerns about stability.
Why it matters: Cash from operations is key for Kyndryl's financial health. It shows how well the company is managing its cash flow.
Supportive ifQ2 cash from operations goes up from the last quarter.
Worry ifQ2 cash from operations goes down or stays the same from the last quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results will reveal if Kyndryl's strategies are working. Poor results could signal deeper issues.
Watch forEarnings report shows a net income gain or improved cash flow.
Also watch forEarnings report reveals a net income loss or further declines in cash flow.
Why it matters: Higher costs show ongoing problems and could hurt future profits.
Worry ifTotal workforce rebalancing costs in FY 2027 are over $200 million.
Less concerning ifWorkforce rebalancing costs are at or below $200 million.
Why it matters: Steady growth in Kyndryl Consult shows strong demand for AI and cloud services.
Supportive ifKyndryl Consult revenue growth remains above 10% YoY.
Worry ifKyndryl Consult revenue growth falls below 10% YoY.
Why it matters: Improved cash flow shows Kyndryl's ability to generate cash. This is crucial for funding operations and growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $500 million in Q1 2027.
Worry ifCash flow from operations falls below $400 million in Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Ongoing share repurchases show strong capital discipline. This can help stock price and investor trust.
Supportive ifKyndryl repurchases at least 5 million shares in the next quarter.
Worry ifKyndryl does not repurchase shares or cuts the number a lot.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show if Kyndryl meets its revenue and income targets. This is key for investor confidence.
Watch forEarnings report shows adjusted pretax income of $600 million or more.
Also watch forEarnings report shows adjusted pretax income is less than $600 million.
Why it matters: A bigger drop would worry people about Kyndryl's growth and market demand.
Worry ifQ2 revenue down year over year worse than -3%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue decline is less than -3% YoY or shows growth.
Why it matters: Updates on workforce changes will show if Kyndryl is doing better. Slow progress may hurt profits.
Worry ifManagement says they made changes to the workforce. These changes will save money.
Less concerning ifNo updates or more losses in net income due to poor workforce changes.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below the median, it could signal a slowdown in Kyndryl's performance.
Worry ifKyndryl's revenue growth drops below the sector median growth rate.
Less concerning ifKyndryl maintains or exceeds the sector median growth rate.
Why it matters: Strong growth in hyperscaler revenue shows Kyndryl's success in AI and cloud services.
Supportive ifHyperscaler revenue growth is above 50% each year.
Worry ifHyperscaler revenue growth drops below 40% each year. This may show problems.
Why it matters: Updates on workforce changes show how Kyndryl is managing costs. This affects efficiency.
Worry ifThere is news about changes in the workforce. These changes improve how the company works.
Less concerning ifMore layoffs or issues with employee morale have been reported.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$228 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $489 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,804 loss on $10,000 · 68.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.