Kyndryl (KD)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$16.18-3.92%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 42.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 42.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 28 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KD — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-05
of Form 8-K and shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing made by the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.
Why it matters: Consult revenue grew 10% in the latest quarter, down from 18% a year earlier. Another drop would show slower growth in this service line.
Worry ifKyndryl Consult revenue growth is below 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifKyndryl Consult revenue grows at least 10% year over year in the next reported quarter.
Why it matters: Ellen Johnson took over as CFO in August. Her first full results will show how she handles the cash and earnings outlook.
Watch forThe next results meet or raise the FY2027 targets of $600 million adjusted pretax income and $400 million free cash flow.
Also watch forThe next results cut the FY2027 adjusted pretax income target below $600 million or free cash flow below $400 million.
Why it matters: Kyndryl expects large savings after paying for job cuts. Savings below the stated range would weaken the case for these costs.
Worry ifBy FY2028, Kyndryl reports less than $400 million in annual savings on operating costs from workforce changes.
Less concerning ifBy FY2028, Kyndryl reports $400 million or more in annual savings on operating costs from workforce changes.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$212 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $489 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,149 loss on $10,000 · 61.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.