Kimball Electronics, Inc. (KE)
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$25.03+2.41%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -36.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 43.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
of this Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section. The information in this Form 8-K shall not be incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, except as shall otherwise be expressly set forth by specific reference in su…
Why it matters: Successful integration of Helvoet is crucial for growth. Delays or issues could impact future earnings.
Watch forManagement says they are making good progress with Helvoet. Sales grew in Q1 2027.
Also watch forManagement says there are problems with integration. Helvoet had lower sales in Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Strong sales from Helvoet would confirm the acquisition's success and growth strategy.
Supportive ifHelvoet sales were above $60 million for fiscal 2027.
Worry ifHelvoet sales were below $50 million for fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Revenue guidance shows management's confidence. A cut may mean lower demand or issues.
Worry ifManagement lowers revenue guidance for fiscal 2027 to less than $1.535 billion.
Less concerning ifManagement raises revenue guidance for fiscal 2027 to more than $1.560 billion.
Why it matters: Hitting this growth target shows the Helvoet purchase is working and helps our strategy.
Supportive ifOrganic sales growth reported at 5% or higher in fiscal 2027.
Worry ifOrganic sales growth was less than 3% in fiscal 2027.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$162 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $425 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,169 loss on $10,000 · 31.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Keeping this margin shows we manage costs well while growing revenue.
Supportive ifThe adjusted operating margin was 4.7% or more in fiscal 2027.
Worry ifThe adjusted operating margin was less than 4.4% in fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: Falling below this level shows a big slowdown in sales growth.
Worry ifNet sales reported below $1.535 billion for Q1 2027.
Less concerning ifNet sales reported above $1.560 billion for Q1 2027.
Why it matters: If revenue growth speeds up, it shows Kimball Electronics is doing better in the market.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth stays below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong growth in medical sales is key for Kimball's strategy and revenue goals.
Supportive ifQ4 medical sales growth exceeds 10% compared to Q3.
Worry ifQ4 medical sales growth is below 5% compared to Q3.
Why it matters: Staying within CAPEX guidance shows good capital management and supports growth plans.
Supportive ifCAPEX reported within the range of $50-$60 million.
Worry ifCAPEX exceeds $60 million or drops below $50 million.
Why it matters: Legal issues can affect financial health and how investors feel.
Worry ifGood legal results reported that reduce financial risks.
Less concerning ifBad legal results reported that increase financial risks.
Why it matters: A strong recovery would rebuild trust after the recent earnings miss.
Supportive ifQ1 fiscal 2027 earnings exceed $370 million in net sales.
Worry ifQ1 fiscal 2027 earnings fall below $350 million in net sales.
Why it matters: Organic sales growth is key to Kimball's strategy. A drop below 3% could signal trouble.
Worry ifQ1 2027 organic sales growth was below 3%.
Less concerning ifQ1 2027 organic sales growth was above 5%.
Why it matters: Increasing debt could signal financial strain and impact growth plans.
Worry ifDebt reported above $130 million.
Less concerning ifDebt reported below $110 million.