Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. (KGS)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$38.93-5.65%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KGS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -9.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 30.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name operates in a high-miss-rate industry and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 25 industry peers
KGS — dividend update
Dated 2026-11-04
Regulation FD Disclosure. On November 4, 2026, Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. issued a press release announcing a quarterly cash dividend of $0.51 per share of common stock payable on November 25, 2026 to holders of record as of the close of business on November 16, 2026. The press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information under this
Why it matters: Kodiak has ordered turbines and is building its power business. Signed customer deals would show that demand is turning into contracted work.
Supportive ifKodiak names a customer and signs a long-term deal for power generation.
Worry ifKodiak reports no signed long-term power contracts by its next earnings report, or says talks have slowed.
Why it matters: Kodiak raised its 2026 EBITDA guide after Q2. The November 9 report can show if that higher range still holds.
Watch forOn November 9, Kodiak keeps its $830M–$860M 2026 adjusted EBITDA guide or raises it.
Also watch forOn November 9, Kodiak cuts its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guide below $830M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$220 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $436 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,896 loss on $10,000 · 49.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.