Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$104.96-2.77%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KMB
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $105 KMB trades at 14× p/e, below its 17× p/e peer median, but our blended $93 fair value sits below the price. We hold it with medium confidence: our number sits below the analyst range. Analysts target $115–$121. Note: our $93 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($115–$121). Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $115.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $27.28 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $43.43 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $24.13 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$115.00 – $121.00 (median $115.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-08-05
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 17% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $5.16/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $30.70 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $121.32 | 11.7 | 11.80 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $83.97 | 15.9 | 5.28 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $117.85 | 15.8 | 7.46 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $42.46 | 0.9 | 49.75 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $31.90 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $109.93 | 14.8 | 7.45 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $129.92 | 16.8 | 7.72 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $61.70 | 15.9 | 3.88 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $119.98 | 15.8 | 7.59 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $44.47 | 0.9 | 52.11 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $112.04 | 14.8 | 7.59 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $50.24 | 15.9 | 3.16 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $122.39 | 15.8 | 7.75 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $45.37 | 0.9 | 53.15 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $114.30 | 14.8 | 7.75 | Analyst | high |