Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-07-07
$114.74+1.53%
Close 2026-07-07 · 1-day change
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Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $114.74. As of 2026-07-08. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Bottom 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $115 KMB trades at 15× p/e, below its 19× p/e peer median, but our blended $100 fair value sits below the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $99–$121. Not investment advice.
$99.00 – $121.00 (median $103.00) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-06-17
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 17% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly 15.0 years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $5.56/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2025-Q4, 2026-Q1
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $103.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $50.68 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $37.59 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $26.34 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $31.28 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 12M | $30.80 | 19.3 | 1.60 | Mgmt | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $153.33 | 16.9 | 10.22 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $108.42 | 20.3 | 5.33 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $145.74 | 19.3 | 7.57 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $84.51 | 1.7 | 49.69 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $32.59 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $136.95 | 18.1 | 7.57 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $152.75 | 19.3 | 7.93 | Triangulated | high |
| Mgmt guidance | 3Y | $30.77 | 19.3 | 1.60 | Mgmt(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $83.07 | 20.3 | 4.08 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $145.56 | 19.3 | 7.56 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $111.89 | 1.7 | 65.79 | guidance | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $136.78 | 18.1 | 7.56 | Analyst | medium |
| Mgmt guidance | 5Y | $30.74 | 19.3 | 1.60 | Mgmt(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $69.55 | 20.3 | 3.42 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $145.45 | 19.3 | 7.55 | Analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $147.98 | 1.7 | 87.01 | guidance | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $136.67 | 18.1 | 7.55 | Analyst | high |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.