Kimberly-Clark (KMB)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Grow operating profit to at least $753M in 2026-Q1: operating profit not reported.
Kimberly-Clark grew revenue from $4.05B to $4.16B in 2026-Q1. Profit rose from $631M to $753M in the same quarter. Adjusted EPS grew from $1.70 to $2.00. Supply chain gains and new products support profit growth.
Pricing to attract customers hurts profit margins. Integration challenges may slow profit growth. Legal issues could also hurt profits.
The price is about 15% above our fair value near $100. Analysts expect about 4% revenue growth. Our fair value is close to the Street median.
Breaks if: EPS falls below $1.70 in any quarter after 2026-Q1
Breaks if: operating profit falls below $631M in any quarter after 2026-Q1
Breaks if: revenue falls below $4.05B in any quarter after 2026-Q1
Kimberly-Clark aims to grow organic sales in line with or ahead of market growth.
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a durable compounder with a focus on steady growth. The current thesis state is intact, as recent financial performance remains strong relative to its industry.
The market appears to have priced in a neutral valuation, with expectations slightly above average compared to peers. However, the stock shows some fragility due to weak execution quality and recent earnings misses.
Management is on track with key priorities, including the integration of Kenvue and driving organic sales growth. Recent results indicate a mixed delivery, but adjusted earnings per share are showing positive growth.
The thesis hinges on management's ability to maintain guidance and deliver on strategic priorities. Additionally, external factors like inflation trends and performance of sector peers will be crucial for future momentum.
The outlook for KMB over the next 1 to 3 years depends on effective execution and market conditions. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Mixed, the news cuts both ways. Kimberly-Clark reported a recent earnings beat, which supports the thesis. However, the requirement to divest certain brands complicates the acquisition of Kenvue, posing a threat.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.