Kinetik Holdings, Inc. (KNTK)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-11-05
$49.14-3.97%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas MidstreamSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KNTK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 11.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 25.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KNTK — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On November 4, 2026, Kinetik Holdings Inc. issued a press release announcing financial and operating results for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026. The full text of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 furnished herewith, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Ex…
Why it matters: The 40 MW project would add power at Diamond Cryo. A delay would push back this planned system upgrade.
Supportive ifKinetik reports Diamond Volt in service by June 30, 2027, as planned.
Worry ifKinetik moves Diamond Volt's in-service date beyond June 30, 2027, or reports the project is paused.
Why it matters: The October settlement set the agreement's end date. Final terms can show whether the dispute is closed or still creates costs.
Watch forA filing or company release confirms the settlement terms are final. No new claim or payment goes beyond the agreed terms.
Also watch forA filing or company release reports a new claim, payment, or dispute over the settlement terms.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$114 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $336 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,541 loss on $10,000 · 15.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.