Kroger (KR)
NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
$58.59+0.14%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesGrocery StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KR
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $59 KR trades at 12× p/e, below its 17× p/e peer median. Our $62 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Analysts target $58–$82. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $71.00 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $47.51 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $90.30 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $20.69 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$58.00 – $82.00 (median $71.00) · 9 analysts · as of 2026-07-07
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $34.25 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $82.14 | 11.7 | 9.19 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $74.67 | 15.9 | 4.69 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $85.06 | 15.8 | 5.38 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $220.71 | 0.9 | 258.60 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $88.64 | 17.9 | 4.95 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $25.91 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $58.49 | 11.8 | 4.95 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $82.65 | 16.8 | 4.91 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 3Y | $78.07 | 11.7 | 8.84 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $79.57 | 15.9 | 5.00 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 5Y | $75.45 | 11.7 | 8.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $83.02 | 15.9 | 5.22 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |