Karat Packaging, Inc. (KRT)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
$48.39+2.83%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryPackaging & ContainersSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KRT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 33.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 22.1 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KRT — dividend update
Dated 2026-08-05
Other Events. On August 4, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Karat Packaging Inc. (the "Company") declared an increase of its regular quarterly cash dividend to $0.47 per share (the "Quarterly Dividend") on the Company’s common stock, which will be paid on or about August 28, 2026 to stockholders of record at the close of business on August 21, 2026. On August 5, 2026, the Company issued a press release announcing that the Board has declared the Quarterly Dividend. A copy of the p…
Why it matters: An increase in sector revenue growth may mean a better situation for Karat Packaging.
Watch forSector revenue growth is reported positive year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Maintaining the $0.45 dividend shows commitment to shareholders. This can boost investor trust.
Supportive ifThe company declares a dividend of $0.45 per share for the next quarter.
Worry ifThe company cuts the dividend below $0.45 per share.
Why it matters: An increase would signal strong cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
Supportive ifA quarterly dividend will be announced. It will be more than $0.47 per share.
Worry ifNo increase in quarterly dividend from the current $0.47 per share.
Why it matters: Management expects growth in the low double digits for Q3. This shows strong demand.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales increase confirmed at 10% or more year over year.
Worry ifQ3 net sales growth reported below 8% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$136 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $300 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,744 loss on $10,000 · 17.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This growth rate will show if the company can keep its momentum. A drop below 10% may signal weakening demand.
Worry ifQ3 net sales growth reported below 10% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ3 net sales growth reported at 10% or above year over year.
Why it matters: Opening this warehouse is key for improving distribution and e-commerce. Delays could hurt growth plans.
Supportive ifThe Florida warehouse will start operations as planned by Q3 2026.
Worry ifThe Florida warehouse will not start operations by Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This report will provide updates on sales, margins, and overall performance. It is a key indicator of business health.
Watch forPositive earnings report showing growth in sales and margins.
Also watch forEarnings report shows decline in sales or margins.
Why it matters: A drop below this level would indicate cost pressures and could hurt profitability. It is critical to monitor margin trends.
Worry ifGross margin reported below 35% for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifGross margin reported at 35% or higher for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Savings from tariffs may help keep margins steady. This could support profits in the future.
Supportive ifManagement confirms tariff savings reducing cost of goods sold in Q2.
Worry ifNo mention of tariff savings or costs remain elevated.