Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Knightscope Inc (KSCP)
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.42-9.74%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for KSCP yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Achieve 20% gross margin by FY26 | Knightscope aims to reach $35M revenue with a 20% gross margin by year-end. | Improving | Gross margin remains below 15% by FY26 | Gross margin: 7.36% FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= 20% gross margin. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 20267.358156 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 12, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is speculative growth, not an established compounder: the business is loss-making, risk is high, and recent performance is weak. The thesis is on watch, with some progress in revenue and gross profit but limited evidence that planned K7 deployments and the Signals launch are complete.
The valuation model describes KSCP as cheap versus peers, but confidence in that assessment is low. The expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations are not especially demanding; the supplied evidence does not establish exactly what investors assume.
Near term, the setup is fragile: KSCP has recent earnings misses, company momentum weakened, and the estimated chance of another miss is elevated. Over the multi-year view, higher revenue, improved gross profit, and reported commercial activity are constructive, but bookings and awards are not guaranteed revenue, and the evidence on K7 and Signals delivery remains limited.
The next call matters: a guidance cut would add to concerns after repeated misses. Over the coming quarters, the thesis also hinges on whether K7 deployments and the Signals platform move from roadmap to delivery, while client renewals and service growth translate into reported revenue. Industrial bellwethers could offer a sector signal, but misses or weaker guidance there would remove a supportive backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, KSCP remains a high-risk, loss-making growth story with some operating progress but weak recent momentum and important execution proof still missing. The long-term thesis depends on consistent delivery and improved results; the evidence is mixed. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in Knightscope Inc's published investment case. The stated target is EPS loss narrows to less than -$1.0 by FY27. |
| Broken |
| EPS loss worsens beyond -$2.5 in FY27 |
Diluted EPS: $-0.79 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: EPS loss narrows to less than -$1.0 by FY27. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 2026-0.79 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Achieve at least $35M revenue by FY26 | A primary condition in Knightscope Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $35M revenue. | Broken | Revenue falls below $30M in FY26 | Revenue: $9.024M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $35M revenue. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 12, 20269,024,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-2.16 → $-2.02 · observed estimates
$0.04B → $0.04B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-2.16 | $41,742,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-2.35 | $39,085,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-2.23 | $41,035,000 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-2.02 | $40,191,500 | 1 / 1 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 2 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.