Knightscope Inc (KSCP)
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.48+4.96%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KSCP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 61.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 82.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
KSCP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-12
and Exhibit 99.1 is being furnished and shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, and shall not be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing of the Company under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: Better gross margin means Knightscope is controlling costs well. This is key for making money long-term.
Supportive ifGross margin reported above 10% in Q2.
Worry ifGross margin remains below 5%.
Why it matters: Final Q2 revenue results will show if Knightscope's growth is sustainable. A strong report could boost confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue was $9 million or more. This confirms the early results.
Worry ifQ2 revenue was less than $9 million. This shows possible growth problems.
Why it matters: A rise in sector growth could help Knightscope perform better.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth reported above 7% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below 3% year over year.
Why it matters: Steady revenue growth shows Knightscope is doing well. There is strong demand for its products.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 revenue shows growth compared to Q2 2026.
Worry ifQ3 2026 revenue declines from Q2 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$299 on $10,000 · ±3.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $890 loss on $10,000 · 8.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,189 loss on $10,000 · 81.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Acquisitions are key for Knightscope's growth. Good deals can improve their market position.
Supportive ifA new purchase was announced. It supports the security platform strategy.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions were announced. This may mean slow growth.
Why it matters: Sustaining high revenue growth shows strong demand for Knightscope's products. This is vital for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQuarterly revenue growth remains above 200% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below 200% year over year.
Why it matters: Any upward revision in revenue guidance would signal confidence in growth. This is important for market perception.
Supportive ifManagement raises revenue guidance for 2026 to over $35M.
Worry ifManagement lowers revenue guidance for 2026 to under $30M.
Why it matters: The launch at GSX 2026 could attract a lot of interest. It may create new business for Knightscope.
Supportive ifMedia coverage is positive. Clients are interested after the launch event on September 14 to 16, 2026.
Worry ifThe launch fails to attract media attention or client interest.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show revenue, margins, and the health of the business.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth and margin improvement.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows a drop in revenue and lower margins.
Why it matters: Ongoing losses could hurt Knightscope's growth plans. Improvement would show better cost control.
Supportive ifOperating losses are smaller or the same as in previous quarters.
Worry ifOperating losses are rising. This shows worsening financial health.
Why it matters: Starting K7 deployments shows Knightscope's ability to scale its new product. This is key for future growth.
Supportive ifInitial K7 deployments begin as planned in Q3 2026.
Worry ifK7 deployments are delayed beyond Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If they integrate well, margins and efficiency will rise. This matters for Knightscope's growth.
Supportive ifIntegrating the Security Force can lead to gross margins over 7%.
Worry ifIf integration does not work, gross margins may not improve. It could cause problems.
Why it matters: The Signals platform launch is important for combining Knightscope's security assets. This may improve how well they operate.
Supportive ifSignals platform launches as planned in the second half of 2026.
Worry ifSignals platform launch is postponed beyond 2026.
Why it matters: Management's target for $35M revenue by year-end is key to assessing growth. Progress signals operational health.
Supportive ifManagement states they are on track to meet or exceed the $35M revenue target.
Worry ifManagement says they are behind the $35M revenue goal.