Knightscope Inc (KSCP)
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.42-9.74%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSecurity & Protection ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · KSCP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -74.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 77.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 151.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 5 industry peers
KSCP — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-20
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 20, 2026, Knightscope, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its preliminary revenue results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and incorporated herein by reference. The preliminary results described in the press release are subject to the completion of the Company's normal quarter-end closing and review procedure…
Why it matters: Knightscope posted positive gross margin for two straight quarters. Keeping it above zero would show that sales cover direct service costs.
Supportive ifThe Q3 report shows gross profit above zero and a gross margin above 7%.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows a gross loss or gross margin at or below zero.
Why it matters: Knightscope had an $8.2 million cash balance and a $14.1 million net loss in Q2. The Oct. 20 release did not give Q3 cash or loss results.
Worry ifThe Q3 report shows cash below $8.2 million and a net loss above $14.1 million.
Less concerning ifThe Q3 report shows cash at or above $8.2 million and a net loss below $14.1 million.
Why it matters: Signals is meant to link robots, sensors, and security staff. A launch would show progress on a key product plan.
Supportive ifKnightscope announces that clients can use the first version of Signals.
Worry ifKnightscope reports that Signals is not launched by Dec. 31, 2026, or delays it into 2027.
Why it matters: The company said K7 deployments would start in the second half of 2026. A launch would show that the robot is moving from testing to client use.
Supportive ifKnightscope confirms at least one K7 robot is deployed with a client by Dec. 31, 2026.
Worry ifKnightscope reports no client K7 deployment by Dec. 31, 2026, or pushes the start date into 2027.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$293 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $876 loss on $10,000 · 8.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $9,186 loss on $10,000 · 91.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Q3 revenue would mark another large year-over-year gain. The estimate is not final, and the company has not shared Q3 profit or cash results.
Supportive ifThe Nov. 11 report confirms Q3 revenue near $8.7 million, up about 177% year over year.
Worry ifThe Nov. 11 report puts Q3 revenue well below $8.7 million or reports a sharp rise in losses or cash use.