Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Klaviyo Inc (KVYO)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$20.81-2.57%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
1.06 → 1.05 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 12 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 12 to 12; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for KVYO yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Operating income improves to positive territory | Operating income improved to $1.7 million in Q1 2026 from a loss last quarter. | Intact | Operating income remains negative beyond 2026-Q1 | Operating income: $-4.489M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $1.7 million. The stored target says 2026-Q1; this source reports FY2026-Q3. Fiscal/calendar alignment needs review. Nov 4, 2026-4,489,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a growth business with early signs of improving operating leverage, meaning operating income may grow as the business scales. Its multi-year view is on watch: revenue priorities are on track, but recent performance is weak and the business remains loss-making on the evidence snapshot.
The valuation is still at a 1.43 premium to peers, while the expectations gap is negative, suggesting expectations are not fully supported by the current setup. The valuation measure has fallen, and priced-in fragility is low, but the snapshot does not establish that the shares are cheap versus peers.
Near-term results may remain uneven: KVYO recently missed earnings, and its performance has been well below its industry cohort. For the multi-year thesis, revenue growth has continued and FY26 guidance was raised; margin progress is mixed, with quarterly non-GAAP operating margin moving from 16% to 14% while full-year guidance is 14.5% to 15%.
The thesis depends on sustaining growth through international expansion, enterprise customers, and wider product adoption while improving margins. Near term, a guidance cut after the recent raise would damage credibility; easier rates or steadier results from major technology peers could improve the sector backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, KVYO has a credible growth path but a cautious thesis state, with execution and margin improvement still needing proof against weak recent performance. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Klaviyo Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $1.5 billion. |
| Intact |
| Revenue falls below $1.215 billion in FY26 |
Revenue: $387.207M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $1.5 billion. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 4, 2026387,207,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Implement $500 million share repurchase program | The company started a $500 million share buyback program to boost shareholder value. | Intact | No meaningful buyback activity by end of 2026 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$1.04 → $1.05 · observed estimates
$1.82B → $1.83B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-07-25 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-07-26 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-07-27 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-07-28 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-07-29 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-07-30 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-07-31 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-01 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-02 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-08-03 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-08-04 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-08-05 | $1.04 | $1,816,436,650 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-08-06 | $1.04 | $1,816,420,788 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-07 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-08 | $1.05 | $1,830,049,680 | 22 / 20 |
| 2026-08-09 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-10 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-12 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-13 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,680 | 21 / 20 |
| 2026-08-14 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-15 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-16 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-17 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-18 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-19 | $1.05 | $1,827,709,373 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-20 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-21 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-22 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-23 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-24 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-25 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-26 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-27 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-28 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-29 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-30 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-08-31 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-01 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,528 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-02 | $1.06 | $1,830,649,513 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-03 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-04 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-05 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-06 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-07 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-08 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-09 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-10 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,202 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-11 | $1.06 | $1,830,666,598 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-12 | $1.06 | $1,830,847,550 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-13 | $1.06 | $1,830,847,550 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-14 | $1.06 | $1,830,847,550 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-15 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-16 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-17 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-18 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-19 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-20 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-21 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-22 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-23 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-24 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-25 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-26 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-27 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-28 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-29 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-09-30 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 15 |
| 2026-10-01 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-02 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-03 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-04 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-05 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-06 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-07 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-08 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-09 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-10 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-11 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-12 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-13 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-14 | $1.06 | $1,830,837,036 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-15 | $1.06 | $1,830,598,941 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-16 | $1.06 | $1,830,598,941 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-17 | $1.06 | $1,830,598,941 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-18 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,512 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-19 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,512 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-20 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,512 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-21 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,512 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-22 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,493 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-23 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,493 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-24 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,493 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-25 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,493 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-26 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,493 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-27 | $1.05 | $1,829,348,493 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-28 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-29 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-30 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-10-31 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-11-01 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-11-02 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-11-03 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,522 | 12 / 16 |
| 2026-11-04 | $1.05 | $1,829,350,127 | 12 / 16 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 20 Buy / Strong Buy · 3 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 3 recorded
0 raises · 1 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.