Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-31 · fmp
Lakeland Industries, Inc. (LAKE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$8.94+0.11%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.41 → 0.41 EPS · FY ending Jan 31, 2028 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 2 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LAKE yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cost reductions and inventory discipline | Cost reductions and inventory discipline support margin stability. | Intact | Margins deteriorate due to rising costs or inventory issues in FY 2027 | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 3 of 3 supplied quarters. Management reported: “• Inventory ended the quarter at $74.9 million, down $2.8 million sequentially and $15.3 million year-over-year.” “Gross margin was 37.0% compared to 35.9% in Q2 FY26 and 31.4% in Q1 FY27, benefitting from favorable a Fire Products mix and a $1.4 million net tariff refund received during the quarter.” |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-01-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Dec 8, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk turnaround rather than a durable compounder, with the business currently loss-making and recent performance weak. The long-term thesis is in a watch state, as progress on cash flow and inventory has not yet offset inconsistent revenue and earnings.
The evidence describes LAKE as cheap versus peers, while also showing a 59% peer premium and a negative expectations gap of 0.51. These signals are mixed, and valuation confidence is low, so the market’s assumptions are difficult to read clearly.
Near term, the elevated risk of an earnings miss reflects erratic surprises and recent misses; momentum has also weakened. Over the multi-year view, management continues to target high single-digit FY27 revenue growth and positive operating cash flow, with cash generation and inventory improving, but recent revenue and cost trends show mixed execution.
The key test is whether revenue growth and cost discipline improve enough to support the FY27 goals while positive operating cash flow continues. In the near term, another guidance cut would add a meaningful concern; stronger or weaker results and guidance from sector bellwethers such as NKE, DECK, and CROX could also change the sector backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, the thesis depends on translating better cash generation and inventory control into steadier growth and earnings. The evidence remains mixed, with high near-term risk and low confidence in the valuation signals. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Positive operating cash flow | The company targets positive operating cash flow, with $5.8M achieved in 2027-Q1. | Improving | Operating cash flow remains negative through FY 2027 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 3 of 3 supplied quarters. Management reported: ““Cash flow also improved materially, with $5.4 million of cash generated from operations during the first six months of fiscal 2027, a $15.1 million year-over-year improvement.” “• As of July 31, 2026, there were borrowings of $24.9 million outstanding under the revolving credit facility, with an additional $15.1 million of available credit under the Loan Agreement.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
High single-digit revenue growth | Lakeland Industries aims for high single-digit revenue growth in fiscal 2027. | Broken | YoY revenue growth falls below 5% in FY 2027 | Revenue growth: -4.49% FY2027-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=8% YoY revenue growth. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Sep 9, 2026-4.489866 percent · calculatedLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.57 → $0.41 · observed estimates
$0.22B → $0.22B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.57 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.56 | $217,591,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.53 | $217,391,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.53 | $217,391,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.54 | $218,004,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.40 | $218,004,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.40 | $218,004,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.40 | $218,004,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.40 | $218,004,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.41 | $215,929,750 | 2 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 4 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.