Lakeland Industries, Inc. (LAKE)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.95-1.48%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - Footwear & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LAKE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -22.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers
LAKE — earnings miss
Dated 2026-04-16
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 16, 2026, Lakeland Industries, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fourth quarter and year ended January 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1.
Why it matters: Keeping costs low is important for better margins. This can help make more money.
Supportive ifCost reductions reported exceeding 5% compared to the previous year in Q1 FY 2027.
Worry ifCost increases reported above 2% compared to the previous year in Q1 FY 2027.
Why it matters: Meeting this target would indicate strong demand and support management's growth goals for FY 2027.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth of 10% or more compared to Q2 FY26.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth falls below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Better adjusted EBITDA means more profit and efficiency. It shows the company is controlling costs well.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA exceeds $1 million in Q2 FY27.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA remains below $0.5 million in Q2 FY27.
Why it matters: Higher gross margins mean better cost control. They also show stronger pricing power.
Supportive ifGross margin exceeds 35% in Q2 FY27.
Worry ifGross margin remains below 30% in Q2 FY27.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$166 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $487 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,615 loss on $10,000 · 56.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Good cost management helps create positive cash flow. It also improves profit margins.
Supportive ifManagement says operating expenses are down by at least 5% from Q1.
Worry ifOperating expenses go up or stay the same from Q1. This shows poor cost control.
Why it matters: Opening new service locations can boost recurring revenue. It can also strengthen customer ties.
Supportive ifAt least one new Independent Service Provider location will open by the end of FY 2027.
Worry ifNo new service locations announced or opened by the end of FY 2027.
Why it matters: The earnings report on September 8 will provide key insights into revenue and cash flow.
Watch forEarnings report shows better than expected revenue and cash flow results.
Also watch forEarnings report reveals worse than expected revenue and cash flow results.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong demand and possible revenue growth in Fire Services.
Supportive ifU.S. Fire business backlog increases by at least 10% in Q2 FY27.
Worry ifU.S. Fire business backlog decreases or remains flat in Q2 FY27.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this growth rate would show strong demand in Fire Services. It confirms management's target for high single-digit growth in FY 2027.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth in Fire Services meets or exceeds 11%.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth in Fire Services falls below 5%.
Why it matters: Better inventory levels help with management. This can lead to more profit.
Supportive ifInventory levels drop by at least $5 million from past quarters.
Worry ifInventory levels go up or stay the same.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth would support management's target of high single-digit growth for FY 2027.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year, indicating strong demand.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth is below 5% year over year, suggesting weaker performance.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows the company is in good financial shape and works well.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is still positive, showing ongoing progress.
Worry ifIf cash flow from operations goes negative, it means there are problems.
Why it matters: New service locations can boost regular income and keep customers.
Supportive ifThe Denver ISP location is set to open as planned.
Worry ifIf the ISP location opening is delayed or canceled, it shows problems.