Lifestance Health (LFST)
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.73-0.78%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareMedical - Care FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LFST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 20.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 17.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 3.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 27 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LFST — director transition
Dated 2026-07-07
Director — Jeffrey Rhodes: Mr. Rhodes resigned from the Board and all of its committees.
Why it matters: Changes in leadership may affect company plans and investor trust.
Watch forAnnouncement of a new board member or leadership role filled.
Also watch forNo news about executive changes in the next quarter.
Why it matters: A drop below median growth could signal a slowdown in the healthcare sector impacting Lifestance.
Worry ifHealthcare sector revenue growth reported below its median.
Less concerning ifHealthcare sector revenue growth remains at or above its median.
Why it matters: A rebound in revenue growth could indicate a positive shift in the health care sector.
Supportive ifHealth care sector revenue growth is over 12%. This shows a recovery is happening.
Worry ifRevenue growth is still under 10%. This shows the sector is still weak.
Why it matters: News on the buyback can show management's trust in the company's worth.
Supportive ifThe company bought back shares using the $100 million program.
Worry ifNo news or action on the buyback program in the next quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$192 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $346 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,706 loss on $10,000 · 17.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Leadership changes can affect company plans and results.
Watch forA new director or leadership plan that helps growth was announced.
Also watch forNo updates or bad news about leadership that causes worry.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it may signal a positive shift for Lifestance Health. This could help improve the company's momentum.
Supportive ifHealth Care revenue growth re-accelerates to above 10% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth stays below 9% year over year.
Why it matters: Meeting or beating guidance shows strong demand. This helps growth continue.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $420 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $420 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows strong profits. It also shows good operational efficiency.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is $49 million or more.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA is less than $49 million.
Why it matters: More clinicians mean more visits and higher revenue.
Supportive ifThe number of clinicians is above 8,542.
Worry ifThe number of clinicians is below 8,542.