Linde plc (LIN)
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$477.57-0.96%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LIN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LIN — earnings in line
Dated 2026-07-31
hereof: Exhibit No. Description 99.1 Press Release dated July 31, 2026 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document) 2 SIGNATURES Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized. LINDE PLC Date: July 31, 2026 By: /s/ Denny Brown Name: Denny Brown Title: Principal Accounting Officer 3
Why it matters: If growth is below this level, it could signal a slowdown in Linde's performance. This may raise concerns among investors.
Worry ifQ2 2026 adjusted EPS growth reported at or above 8%.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 adjusted EPS growth reported below 8%.
Why it matters: Staying within this range helps Linde grow and meet its operational needs.
Supportive ifCapital expenditures reported in Q3 fall within the $5.5B to $6.0B range.
Worry ifCapital spending is over $6.0B.
Why it matters: Growth in these areas shows Linde is good at getting high-quality projects.
Supportive ifBacklog grows past $8.1 billion in electronics and clean energy.
Worry ifBacklog decreases or remains stagnant.
Why it matters: A high operating margin shows Linde is efficient and manages costs well.
Supportive ifOperating margin stays at or above 29.5% in Q3.
Worry ifOperating margin is less than 29.0%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$87 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $184 loss on $10,000 · 1.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,919 loss on $10,000 · 19.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth turns positive, it could signal a recovery for Linde.
Watch forSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative for over a year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains negative.
Why it matters: This guidance shows whether Linde can keep its growth trend in earnings. A strong EPS indicates solid performance in challenging markets.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted EPS guidance falls within the range of $4.45 to $4.55, showing 6% to 8% growth.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EPS guidance is now below $4.45. This shows weaker performance expectations.
Why it matters: A growing backlog shows strong demand. It also shows Linde's focus on electronics and clean energy.
Supportive ifProject backlog rises to over $8.1 billion. This shows strong customer demand.
Worry ifProject backlog falls or stays below $8.1 billion. This suggests weakening demand.
Why it matters: Hitting this capex target shows Linde's commitment to growth. It helps future revenue.
Supportive ifCapital expenditures reach between $5.5 billion and $6.0 billion. This supports growth plans.
Worry ifCapital expenditures drop below $5.5 billion. This may mean cutbacks in growth investments.