Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Lineage Inc (LINE)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-04
$39.53+2.38%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LINE yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $1.25 to $1.30 billion in 2026 | Lineage aims to deliver adjusted EBITDA near $1.25 billion in 2026. | Intact | adjusted EBITDA falls below $1.25 billion in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Second-Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights • Total revenue increased 0.8% to $1,361 million • GAAP net loss of $(32) million, or $(0.13) per diluted common share • Adjusted EBITDA decreased (1.8)% to $320 million; adjusted EBITDA margin decreased (60)bps to 23.5% • AFFO decreased (6.2)% to $198 million; AFFO per share decreased (6.2)% to $0.76 • Declared quarterly dividend of $0.5325 per share, representing annualized dividend rate of $2.13 per share "We delivered a solid second quarter, with adjusted EBITDA and AFFO per share both ahead of expectations," said Greg Lehmkuhl, president and chief executive officer of Lineage.” Revenue was $1.361 billion in 2026-Q2. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 9, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a real estate business with a mixed, income-oriented long-term thesis rather than a clear earnings compounder, since the evidence still classifies earnings quality as loss-making. The thesis is intact, with recent financial performance in the stronger half of its industry, though company momentum has weakened and the overall signal is now mixed.
LINE is described as cheap versus peers, while the valuation signal is tagged as justified and has low fragility. The expectations gap is slightly negative, suggesting expectations are not clearly set up for an easy positive surprise; the evidence does not provide enough detail to say more about what the market assumes.
Near term, results show progress: quarterly revenue and operating income increased from Q1 to Q2, occupancy improved year over year, and 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance has remained within a narrow range. Management has also maintained the quarterly dividend near its stated level, but a guidance cut would be a meaningful risk, and recent earnings surprises have been erratic despite a low stated miss probability.
Over the next year, the thesis depends on delivering the 2026 adjusted EBITDA goal and continuing to improve warehouse occupancy. Fed rate cuts could support the sector, while weaker results or guidance from real estate peers could remove that tailwind; a LINE guidance cut would also weaken the setup.
For the 1 to 3 year view, LINE has signs of operating progress and stable stated priorities, but its loss-making earnings profile and recent drop in momentum leave the thesis mixed rather than clearly strengthening. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Maintain dividend per share at $0.53 | It maintains a stable dividend of $0.53 per share. | Intact | dividend per share falls below $0.53 in FY26 | Dividend per share: $0.53 per share FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >=0.53 USD_PER_SHARE. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 5, 20260.53 USD/share · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Second-Quarter 2026 Financial Highlights • Total revenue increased 0.8% to $1,361 million • GAAP net loss of $(32) million, or $(0.13) per diluted common share • Adjusted EBITDA decreased (1.8)% to $320 million; adjusted EBITDA margin decreased (60)bps to 23.5% • AFFO decreased (6.2)% to $198 million; AFFO per share decreased (6.2)% to $0.76 • Declared quarterly dividend of $0.5325 per share, representing annualized dividend rate of $2.13 per share "We delivered a solid second quarter, with adjusted EBITDA and AFFO per share both ahead of expectations," said Greg Lehmkuhl, president and chief executive officer of Lineage.” Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Sustain revenue growth near 2% annually | A supporting condition in Lineage Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >=2% YoY. | Intact | revenue growth falls below 2% YoY next year | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.61 → $-0.58 · observed estimates
$5.54B → $5.54B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.61 | $5,539,318,184 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.61 | $5,539,318,184 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.48 | $5,544,684,940 | 1 / 10 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.61 | $5,531,791,669 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.61 | $5,531,791,669 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.61 | $5,531,791,669 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.61 | $5,535,225,002 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.61 | $5,535,225,002 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.61 | $5,535,225,002 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.61 | $5,535,225,002 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.48 | $5,548,804,940 | 1 / 10 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.48 | $5,548,804,940 | 1 / 10 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.61 | $5,535,225,002 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.61 | $5,535,225,002 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.48 | $5,558,931,760 | 1 / 11 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.48 | $5,558,931,760 | 1 / 11 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.58 | $5,558,931,760 | 2 / 11 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 3 / 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.58 | $5,549,783,335 | 4 / 8 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.54 | $5,508,895,724 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.54 | $5,508,895,724 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.54 | $5,508,895,724 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.54 | $5,508,895,724 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.54 | $5,508,895,724 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.54 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.56 | $5,508,408,926 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.56 | $5,523,672,563 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.57 | $5,521,781,144 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.57 | $5,521,781,144 | 3 / 9 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 3 / 9 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 3 / 9 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 3 / 9 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 3 / 9 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 3 / 9 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.57 | $5,519,417,507 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.57 | $5,519,383,871 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.58 | $5,518,100,326 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.58 | $5,518,100,326 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.58 | $5,507,909,417 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.58 | $5,528,469,720 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.58 | $5,535,694,240 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.58 | $5,535,694,240 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.58 | $5,535,694,240 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.58 | $5,535,694,240 | 4 / 9 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.58 | $5,535,694,240 | 4 / 9 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 8 Buy / Strong Buy · 9 Hold · 4 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 3 recorded
0 raises · 3 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.