Lineage Inc (LINE)
NASDAQReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-04
NASDAQReal EstateReit - IndustrialSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LINE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
LINE — officer change
Dated 2026-10-22
Chief Commercial Officer — Timothy Smith: The Chief Commercial Officer announced a planned retirement with a six-month notice period and the company is initiating a formal search for a successor, indicating an orderly transition rather than a sudden loss.
Why it matters: Lineage raised its 2026 EBITDA range slightly in Q2. Q3 results will show if it stays on track.
Supportive ifOn the November 9 earnings call, Lineage keeps its 2026 adjusted EBITDA range at $1.26B to $1.29B or raises it.
Worry ifLineage cuts the 2026 adjusted EBITDA range below $1.26B.
Why it matters: AFFO per share fell 6.2% in Q2. The year-end result will test whether Lineage meets its full-year range.
Worry ifLineage reports 2026 AFFO per share of at least $2.80, within its stated range.
Less concerning ifLineage cuts its 2026 AFFO per share range below $2.80.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$110 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $335 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,550 loss on $10,000 · 25.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.