Alliant Energy (LNT)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$67.97-0.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Recent financial performance freshly dropped to the bottom half of its industry.
Alliant Energy keeps growing revenue about 5% a year. It expects earnings per share near $3.41 in 2026. The company has a low risk profile and stable profit margins. It also supports shareholders with a 3% dividend yield and share buybacks.
Earnings growth may slow or miss the $3.36 to $3.46 guidance range. Free cash flow remains negative, which could pressure capital returns. The sector faces headwinds that may limit growth and margin expansion.
The stock price is about 20% above our estimate of intrinsic value and 15% below the Street median. Analysts expect roughly 5% revenue growth, which aligns with company guidance. Our view is more cautious on valuation but agrees on moderate growth.
Breaks if: Dividend yield falls significantly below 3% or buybacks stop
Breaks if: EPS guidance falls below $3.36 or above $3.46 for FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a utility company with a focus on stable earnings and growth through data center agreements and energy projects. The current thesis state is weakened due to recent financial performance and sector headwinds.
The market appears to have priced in a neutral valuation, with expectations slightly above peers. There is a low fragility tier, indicating that while execution quality is weak, the overall valuation is justified given current conditions.
Fundamentals are expected to remain stable, with management reaffirming earnings guidance for 2026. However, the company has faced a recent earnings miss and a drop in overall quality, which could impact future performance.
The thesis hinges on management's ability to maintain earnings guidance and the performance of sector bellwethers. Additionally, any changes in Federal Reserve interest rates could significantly influence LNT's trajectory.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has weakened. Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry. This change reflects a decline in the reason to own the stock. Additionally, the company missed earnings expectations in its latest report. Regulatory challenges, such as a mandated natural gas rate cut, further threaten profitability.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Maintain and reaffirm consolidated ongoing EPS guidance range of $3.36 - $3.46 for fiscal year 2026.
Stated as a priority in 4 of last 4 quarters. Alliant Energy consistently reaffirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 at $3.36 - $3.46. In 2026-Q2, management indicated earnings are trending in the upper half of this range. The trajectory matches management's guidance with ongoing EPS showing stability and alignment with forecast.
“Alliant Energy reaffirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46, and indicated earnings are currently trending in the upper half of the range.”
“Alliant Energy reaffirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46.”
“Alliant Energy affirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46”
“Alliant Energy is issuing consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46 per share”
Breaks if: YoY revenue growth falls below 5% over next 4 quarters
Overall, the outlook for LNT is cautious as it navigates mixed execution and sector challenges. Not investment advice.