LNT
Alliant EnergyNASDAQUtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-05-08
As of May 8, 2026, LNT has a composite score of 8.4, with a signal label of "mixed" and a medium confidence level of 76.0. The score is influenced by various factors, including an unfavorable outlook if next-quarter guidance is cut and if the utilities sector trend weakens. Conversely, there are favorable scenarios if the sector trend improves or if guidance is raised. This analysis is provisional.
Price
Daily closes from AlphaVantage. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Factor signals
Read top-to-bottom: thesis (is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold), watch flags (has something changed worth re-reading), and position context (how violent might the path be). Each pill is a parallel diagnostic — never aggregated into a single score.
Thesis
— is this a strong company over a 1–3 year hold?Why this rank
- Direction share1.00
- Slope (norm)-0.12
- Bonus0.00
Why this rank
Trailing four: 2024-Q3, 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3
Why this rank
Watch
— has something changed worth re-reading?Why this setup
EPS estimate $0.71 → $0.69 (-2.6% / 30d). 1 raised, 3 cut, 6 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d, 3 maintained. 58% of analysts rate Buy.
6 PT revisions / 30d. Avg target 4.7% above current price.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
F4 · Management deep-dive — recent events, stated priorities, guidance track record
Recent 8-K events
No recent events recorded.
Stated priorities
1 priority extracted from earnings transcripts (as of 2026-05-08).
- 1.Reaffirm EPS guidance for 2026growthbehind0% progress
5/1: “Alliant Energy reaffirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46.”
Why this status
Stated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 remains at $3.36 - $3.46. Despite reaffirming guidance, financials show a net income decline from $668M in 2025-Q3 to -$523M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards achieving the guidance.
Guidance track record
Insufficient guidance history for this ticker.
Position context
— how violent might the path be while I hold it?Why this risk level
Recent vol — 30d annualized 15%; 252d 16%.
Drawdown — Max 1y −7%. Bad day move −1%.
Beta to sector ETF (XLU) — 0.04 over 1y.
Liquidity — score 100/100.
Sub-scores — vol 74/100, drawdown 86/100, beta 4/100, earnings vol —.
via XLU
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive — historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only — describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-05-08.
What changed
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
- No material changes since the prior snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-05-08
Management scorecard
How management runs the business — capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
What management is focused on
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
- #1
Reaffirm EPS guidance for 2026
GrowthNew since 2026-05-04Alliant Energy continues to reaffirm its EPS guidance for 2026 at $3.36 - $3.46.
BehindStated in 3 of last 3 quarters. EPS guidance for 2026 remains at $3.36 - $3.46. Despite reaffirming guidance, financials show a net income decline from $668M in 2025-Q3 to -$523M in 2025-Q4, indicating limited progress towards achieving the guidance.
0%CEO/CFO:“Alliant Energy reaffirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46.”Multiple sourcesSource dated 2026-05-01Stated 3 of last 8 quartersFirst seen 2026-05-04Show history (3)
- 2026-Q1Multiple sources
“Alliant Energy reaffirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46.”
- 2025-Q4Multiple sources
“Alliant Energy affirmed its consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46”
- 2025-Q3Multiple sources
“Alliant Energy is issuing consolidated ongoing EPS guidance for 2026 of $3.36 - $3.46 per share”
How this stock is priced
Two ways to read price: against peers in the same business, and against the company's own history.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Around its own typical valuation.
P/E over the last 5 years
71 monthly pointsHow this compares
A side-by-side read on composite, valuation, and risk versus peers.
| Stock | Composite | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
LNT Alliant Energy | +8.4 | full | moderate |
NEE NextEra Energy | +19 | full | moderate |
CEG Constellation Energy | +16 | full | elevated |
SO Southern Company | +19 | fair | moderate |
DUK Duke Energy | +28 | inexpensive | moderate |
Risk — how this stock moves
What a normal day looks like, what a bad day looks like, and the worst the last year has thrown at it.
What could change this view
Conditional scenarios — if X happens, the score would shift by about Y points. These are not predictions.
- If utilities sector trend rises from -0.04 into 'improving' (>= +0.20)+5.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is raised (currently NEW as of 2026-05-01)+4.0 pts
- If next-quarter guidance is cut (currently NEW as of 2026-05-01)-8.0 pts
- If rates state reverses from -0.37 (negative) to +0.37 (positive)-7.3 pts
- If utilities sector trend falls from -0.04 into 'weakening' (<= -0.20)-5.0 pts
Material updates
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
- 2026-05-018d agoItem 2.02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On April 30, 2026, Alliant Energy Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for the three months ended March 31, 2026. A copy of such press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated by reference herein.
earnings preannouncementneutralscore 55
Score history
The composite score, snapshot by snapshot. The dotted line at zero separates leaning-positive from leaning-negative.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.