Local Bounti Corp (LOCL)
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$0.94+2.13%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesAgricultural Farm ProductsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LOCL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -31.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 13.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 45.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers
LOCL — litigation filed
Dated 2026-11-05
Other Events. As previously disclosed, on February 5, 2026, Local Bounti Corporation (the “Company”) received a written notice (the “Original Notice”) from the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) that the Company was not in compliance with the continued listing standards set forth in Section 802.01B of the NYSE Listed Company Manual (the “Minimum Market Capitalization Standard”) because its average global market capitalization over a consecutive 30 trading-day period was less than $50 millio…
Why it matters: Several national account deals now run through Q1 2027. Renewals would show that large customers still want the company's products.
Supportive ifThe company names one or more national account supply deals extended beyond Q1 2027.
Worry ifA national account ends a supply deal, or the company reports no extensions beyond Q1 2027.
Why it matters: Revenue grew 14% in Q2, but the company still lost money. Faster growth would show that new retail sales are adding to revenue.
Supportive ifIn the November 11 earnings report, Q3 revenue is up more than 14% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is 14% or lower, or revenue falls year over year.
Why it matters: Higher yields could let the California sites grow more product with their current setup. Management says the work is on track.
Supportive ifA company update says California yields rose 20% from before the upgrade.
Worry ifAn update reports California yield gains below 10%, or says the work is delayed.
Why it matters: The new money adds cash, but the note and warrant can add debt or shares. The full terms show the cost of that funding.
Watch forA filing shows the note is repaid without conversion, and the warrant adds no shares.
Also watch forA filing shows the note converts into shares or the warrant leads to new share issuance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$198 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $829 loss on $10,000 · 8.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,833 loss on $10,000 · 68.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A launch would test demand for the single-serve kits with a major retailer. Wider rollout depends on a successful pilot.
Supportive ifThe company says the pilot began in about 400 Mid-Atlantic stores in fall 2026.
Worry ifThe pilot has not launched by year-end 2026, or the retailer ends it without wider sales.