Lowe's (LOW)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$227.24-0.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryHome ImprovementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LOW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 4.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 76.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 71.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
Why it matters: These areas helped lift sales while DIY spending stayed weak. Continued growth would support Lowe's Total Home plan.
Supportive ifLowe's reports positive growth in Pro, online, and home services sales in its Nov. 18 Q3 report.
Worry ifLowe's reports that one or more of these areas fell year over year, and comparable sales turn negative.
Why it matters: The latest outlook narrowed adjusted EPS to about $12.25. Results below that level would put the full-year view at risk.
Worry ifLowe's cuts its 2026 adjusted EPS view below $12.25, or reports full-year adjusted EPS below $12.25.
Less concerning ifLowe's keeps or raises its adjusted EPS view, then reports full-year adjusted EPS at or above $12.25.
Why it matters: Lowe's lowered its margin view to 11.2%. A lower result would show that sales or costs are weighing on profit.
Worry ifFull-year operating margin is below 11.2%, or Lowe's cuts its 2026 margin view below 11.2%.
Less concerning ifFull-year operating margin is at or above 11.2%, and Lowe's keeps its margin view at 11.2% or higher.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$120 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $283 loss on $10,000 · 2.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,754 loss on $10,000 · 37.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.