LivePerson Inc (LPSN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.100.00%
Close 2026-09-03 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
Broken: Primary pillar broken — Adjusted EBITDA improves to at least -$4 million in 2026: FY26 EBITDA guidance mid $1.5M vs -$4M target.
LivePerson aims to grow revenue to about $201 million in 2026. The merger with SoundHound could boost growth and market position. Management targets adjusted EBITDA up to $7 million, showing a path to profit. Recent analyst EPS revisions are improving.
The company is still loss-making with negative free cash flow. Revenue is expected to decline from 2025 to 2026. The recent sharp share price drop shows investor concern. Profitability targets are modest and uncertain.
The market is selling off sharply, reflecting concerns about the turnaround. There is no clear consensus revenue growth priced in. Our view sees some recovery potential but acknowledges high risk.
Breaks if: adjusted EBITDA falls below -$4 million in FY26
Breaks if: merger fails or integration delays beyond FY26
Breaks if: revenue falls below $195 million in FY26
This is not a price target or investment advice.
A long-form read on the 1–3 year hold thesis. It updates when the weekly evidence changes.
This investment represents a turnaround story with high risk. The company is currently loss-making and dealing with weak recent financial performance, making its long-term thesis uncertain.
The market appears to have priced in a justified valuation that is cheap compared to peers. However, there is a slight expectations gap, suggesting that investors may anticipate some improvement but remain cautious.
Fundamentals are likely to continue facing pressure, especially with a high probability of an earnings miss in the near term. Management's ability to manage revenue decline and reach adjusted EBITDA breakeven remains uncertain.
The thesis hinges on several factors, including the successful completion of the merger with SoundHound AI and the potential for favorable macroeconomic conditions, such as interest rate cuts. Additionally, performance of sector leaders like SAP and CRM could influence LPSN's trajectory.
In the next 1 to 3 years, LPSN's performance will depend on its execution of key management priorities and external market conditions. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
Yes, our read has strengthened. The merger with SoundHound AI is a significant driver. This acquisition supports growth strategy and enhances capabilities. The completion of the merger is expected to improve revenue prospects.
as of 2026-09-04
Review the evidence to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.