LivePerson Inc (LPSN)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.100.00%
Close 2026-09-03 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LPSN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -23.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -16.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LPSN — M&A activity — Changes in Control of Registrant
Dated 2026-09-04
Changes in Control of Registrant. The information set forth under the Introductory Note and Items 2.01, 3.03 and 5.02 of this Current Report on Form 8-K is incorporated by reference in this
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops below the median, it signals a worsening trend in the sector.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below the median for the sector in the next earnings cycle.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth remains above the median for the sector.
Why it matters: Approval is important for the merger. It could help LivePerson grow and be stable.
Supportive ifOver 50% of all outstanding shares vote in favor of the merger on September 2, 2026.
Worry ifLess than 50% of outstanding shares vote in favor of the merger.
Why it matters: The meeting's outcome will determine if the merger proceeds. This affects stockholder value.
Watch forThe merger is approved during the Special Meeting.
Also watch forThe merger is rejected or further postponed.
Why it matters: The merger could impact growth and market position. Clarity on this deal is important for investors.
Watch forManagement shares good news on the merger's progress.
Also watch forManagement says there are delays or issues with the merger process.
Why it matters: Updates will show how LivePerson is handling its revenue drop during the merger.
Watch forManagement raises 2026 revenue guidance. It is now above $195 million to $207 million.
Also watch forManagement lowers the 2026 revenue guidance. It is now below the current range.
Why it matters: Performance will show progress towards breakeven. This will change how investors feel.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA is getting better. It is closer to breakeven or positive.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA is still negative. It is getting worse compared to past quarters.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$316 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $737 loss on $10,000 · 7.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,983 loss on $10,000 · 89.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.