Liquidity Services, Inc. (LQDT)
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
$44.72-4.36%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty RetailSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LQDT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -11.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -52.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 14 industry peers
LQDT — credit agreement
Dated 2026-06-26
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. Amendment to Credit Agreement On June 22, 2026, Liquidity Services, Inc. (the “Company”) and Wells Fargo Bank, National Association (the “Lender”) entered into the Fourth Amendment to Credit Agreement, which amends that certain Credit Agreement by and between the Company and the Lender, dated February 10, 2022 (as previously amended, the “Credit Agreement”) by extending the term of the Credit Agreement from March 31, 2027 to March 31, 2028. All othe…
Why it matters: Registered buyers rose 9% in Q3, but auction participants fell 5%. More active bidders would show stronger platform use.
Supportive ifIn the next results, registered buyers rise from a year ago, and auction participants exceed last year's count.
Worry ifRegistered buyer growth stalls, or auction participants fall year over year again.
Why it matters: Liquidity Services paid $80 million in cash for Invaluable. Its FY27 profit contribution will test the deal's value.
Supportive ifFY27 results show the deal added to adjusted diluted EPS.
Worry ifFY27 results show no gain in adjusted diluted EPS. The company reports added costs or lost customers.
Why it matters: CAG GMV fell 1% in Q3, while management cited project timing. A return to growth would support its recovery story.
Supportive ifQ4 CAG GMV is above the prior-year quarter, after Q3's 1% year-over-year decline.
Worry ifQ4 CAG GMV falls year over year again, extending the Q3 decline.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$110 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $335 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,543 loss on $10,000 · 15.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.