Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)
AMEXConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$2.28-5.00%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
AMEXConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-05
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.41 → 0.41 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 6, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 2 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LSF yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Adjusted EBITDA between $8M and $12M in 2026 | Adjusted EBITDA target is $8-$12M. | Intact | Adjusted EBITDA falls below $8 million in FY26 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Nov 12, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earningsObserved price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
LSF is a high-risk growth and integration story, not yet a proven durable compounder. Its thesis state is watch, though the signal recently shifted from cautious to mixed after an earnings beat and progress on integration.
LSF is described as cheap versus peers, but it is still loss-making and the valuation model has low confidence. The expectations gap is negative, which suggests expectations remain demanding relative to the evidence; the priced-in assessment calls the fragility low and the valuation justified.
Near term, acquired businesses are driving rapid sales growth, and adjusted EBITDA improved from a loss in the first quarter to a profit in the second. Management reaffirmed 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, but the full-year goals remain unproven and recent financial performance is weak relative to its industry group. The CFO transition and erratic earnings history add execution uncertainty.
The multi-year thesis hinges on completing the Navitas and Terrasoul integration, capturing synergies, and meeting the 2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA goals. A guidance cut or further weakening in the jobs report would add pressure, while continued earnings strength and higher guidance from sector peers could support the sector backdrop.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, LSF’s business outlook rests on converting strong acquisition-led sales growth into consistent profitability. Progress is visible, but execution risk remains high and the evidence is still limited. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in Laird Superfood Inc's published investment case. The stated target is >= $138 million. |
| Intact |
| Revenue falls below $138 million in FY26 |
Revenue: $41.294M FY2026-Q2; GAAP. Published target: >= $138 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Aug 13, 202641,294,184 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Complete and integrate Terrasoul and Navitas acquisitions | A supporting condition in Laird Superfood Inc's published investment case. The stated target is Complete integration by end 2026. | Improving | Acquisitions fail or integration delays beyond 2026 | Integration on track for 2026 target Terrasoul deal closed July 2026; Q2 2026 revenue beat supports 2026 guidance; no integration delays reported. Nov 5, 2026Last status assessment Nov 5, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.31 → $0.41 · observed estimates
$0.18B → $0.19B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-07 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.31 | $183,747,000 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
| 2026-11-05 | $0.41 | $190,170,333 | 2 / 2 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 3 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 7–Nov 5 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 7, 2026–Nov 5, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
2 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.