LTC Properties, Inc. (LTC)
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$46.33+1.16%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - Healthcare FacilitiesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LTC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 21.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LTC — dividend update
Dated 2026-11-05
Regulation FD Disclosure On November 3, 2026, the Company furnished a press release that included the Company’s 2026 full-year guidance. The Company provided its 2026 diluted EPS guidance range of $7.80 to $7.82 in the reconciliation table included on page 12 of the press release. The guidance summary on page 3 of the press release inadvertently repeated the Company’s previously issued diluted EPS guidance range of $8.08 to $8.10. Conforming the summary diluted EPS guidance to the detail prov…
Why it matters: LTC kept its 2026 Core FFO range in Q2. A miss or cut would break that steady outlook.
Watch forLTC reports 2026 Core FFO per share of $2.76 to $2.78, with no cut to the range.
Also watch forLTC reports 2026 Core FFO per share below $2.76 or cuts its full-year range.
Why it matters: LTC raised its investment plans and set up a new share-sale plan. More shares can raise cash but reduce each share's claim on earnings.
Worry ifLTC reports material share issuance under the new plan, while Core FFO per share falls below $2.76 for 2026.
Less concerning ifLTC reports no material share issuance, or Core FFO per share remains within or above $2.76 to $2.78.
Why it matters: Management set 40% as the end-of-September mark. The next report can show whether the fast shift is on track.
Supportive ifThe November 3 report states that SHOP made up at least 40% of pro forma annual NOI at September 30.
Worry ifThe report states that SHOP made up less than 40% of pro forma annual NOI at September 30.
Why it matters: SHOP growth depends on property income as well as acquisitions. Lower NOI would weaken the case for the shift.
Watch forLTC reports full-year 2026 SHOP NOI within or above its guided range.
Also watch forLTC reports full-year 2026 SHOP NOI below the guided range or cuts the range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$87 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $221 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,318 loss on $10,000 · 13.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.