Expectations trend
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-03-31 · fmp
LiveOne Inc (LVO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.32-10.77%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
Matching fiscal periods, usable estimates and at least one analyst are required.
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
The calculation requires same-period, same-provider snapshots, positive EPS, at least one analyst and a baseline within three days of the requested lookback.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for LVO yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
4 published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Achieve adjusted EBITDA of $8-$10 million in fiscal 2027 | Profit should improve with adjusted EBITDA of $8-$10 million. | Improving | Adjusted EBITDA falls below $8 million in fiscal 2027 | Direct metric needs a verified mapping The published measure or accounting basis is not supported by an exact source binding. Date unavailableLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2028 · fiscal year ending 2028-03-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
This is a high-risk turnaround and growth case, not a proven durable compounder: LVO is loss-making, recent performance is weak, and management execution is rated volatile. The thesis is in watch status, with progress on revenue but only mixed evidence on profitability.
LVO is described as cheap versus peers, but the valuation model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative. The pricing signal is tagged justified, with low fragility; the evidence does not show that market expectations are especially easy to exceed.
Near term, revenue has edged up year over year, while adjusted EBITDA improved from a loss to a profit in Q1 Fiscal 2027; both remain parts of a larger full-year execution test. Management’s revenue goal is on track, but profitability delivery is mixed, and the elevated risk of an earnings miss is reinforced by erratic surprises and a recent high-risk label.
Over the next few quarters, the thesis depends on LVO sustaining revenue progress, reaching its Fiscal 2027 adjusted EBITDA goal, and turning B2B partnerships and its M&A pipeline into results. A guidance cut would weaken the case; rate cuts or continued strong results from large sector peers could provide a more favorable backdrop, but would not replace company execution.
For the 1-to-3-year view, LVO remains an early, high-risk execution story with signs of improvement but limited proof of durable financial progress. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A supporting condition in LiveOne Inc's published investment case. The stated target is No major executive departures. |
| Under Pressure |
| Further key executive departures or failure to execute growth plans |
2 key departures (CFO, Director) vs 0 target CFO Craig Christensen left Oct 30; Director Ramin Arani resigned Nov 2. No successor named yet. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Maintain positive cash from operations | The company is working to turn cash flow positive. | Broken | Operating cash flow turns negative next year | Cash from operations: $-2.089M FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: > $0. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 14, 2026-2,089,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Increase revenue to $85-$95 million in fiscal 2027 | A primary condition in LiveOne Inc's published investment case. The stated target is ~$90 million. | Improving | Revenue falls below $85 million in fiscal 2027 | Revenue: $19.35M FY2027-Q1; GAAP. Published target: ~$90 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Aug 14, 202619,350,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. Management contextStated in 2 of 2 supplied quarters. Management reported: “Exhibit 99.1 LiveOne (Nasdaq: LVO) Delivers Record Q1 Fiscal 2027 Results with $19.4 Million Revenue and $4.3 Million Adjusted EBITDA; PodcastOne Posts Record $16.1 Million Revenue LOS ANGELES, August 12, 2026 -- LiveOne (Nasdaq: LVO), an award-winning, creator-first music, entertainment, and technology platform, announced today its financial results for the first quarter (“Q1 Fiscal 2027”) ended June 30, 2026.” “Fiscal 2027 Guidance LiveOne raises guidance for Fiscal 2027 for revenues to increase to $85-$95+ million and drive expected Adjusted EBITDA* of $8-10+ million (Excluding Corporate Overhead).” Revenue was $18.762 million in 2026-Q2. Delivery assessment Nov 4, 2026 |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$-0.38 → $-0.58 · observed estimates
$0.12B → $0.10B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-25 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-26 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-27 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-29 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-07-31 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-01 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-03 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-05 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-07 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-10 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-12 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 4 / 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $-0.38 | $118,774,250 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $-0.58 | $104,005,500 | 3 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 4 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 0 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
Nov 11, 2026
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Review earnings4 of 4 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.