LiveOne Inc (LVO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.32-10.77%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LVO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -80.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 23.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 104.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers
LVO — private placement
Dated 2026-11-04
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 29, 2026 (the “Effective Date”), LiveOne, Inc. (the “Company”) and certain of its subsidiaries party to the Subsidiary Guarantee (as defined below) entered into a Forbearance Agreement and Amendment to Debentures (the “Agreement”) with JGB Partners, LP, JGB Capital, LP, JGB Capital Offshore Ltd., JGB Orpington, LLC and Chicago Atlantic Adams, LLC (collectively, the “Holders”), the holders of the Company’s 11.75% Original Issue Discount Se…
Why it matters: The company said it had a highly accretive acquisition expected to close. A completed deal would confirm progress on its M&A plan.
Supportive ifLiveOne files or announces that the acquisition is complete. It names the acquired business.
Worry ifLiveOne reports that the deal was canceled, or has not disclosed a close by the next earnings report.
Why it matters: Q1 revenue was $19.4M, close to last year’s $19.2M. The next report tests progress toward the full-year goal.
Watch forOn November 11, Q2 revenue rises year over year and keeps the company on pace for at least $85M in Fiscal 2027 revenue.
Also watch forQ2 revenue falls year over year, putting the $85M lower end of guidance out of reach at the reported pace.
Why it matters: LiveOne reported partnerships with AT&T, Samsung, LG, and VIZIO. A new named partner would show the B2B pipeline is turning into deals.
Supportive ifLiveOne names a new major B2B partner in a press release or filing by the next earnings report.
Worry ifThe next earnings report names no new major partner and reports no B2B deal from the pipeline.
Why it matters: Q1 Adjusted EBITDA was $4.3M, while full-year guidance starts at $8M. The next report will show if that pace holds.
Watch forQ2 Adjusted EBITDA is positive and keeps the first-half total on pace to reach at least $8M for Fiscal 2027.
Also watch forQ2 Adjusted EBITDA is zero or less. The first-half total then falls short of the pace needed for $8M.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$376 on $10,000 · ±3.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $882 loss on $10,000 · 8.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,795 loss on $10,000 · 68.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Craig Christensen left as interim CFO on October 30, and LiveOne has begun a search. A named successor would show the search has advanced.
Supportive ifLiveOne announces a permanent CFO appointment in a press release or SEC filing.
Worry ifBy its next earnings report on November 11, LiveOne has not named a permanent CFO.