LiveOne Inc (LVO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$3.49+3.25%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LVO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -73.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 20.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 94.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate) and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LVO — earnings in line
Dated 2026-08-12
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 12, 2026, LiveOne, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its operating and financial highlights and results for the first quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information included herein and in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the…
Why it matters: New M&A deals can enhance growth and market position. They are key for future strategy.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of a new M&A deal that expands market reach or capabilities.
Worry ifNo new M&A activity announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow from operations shows the company is financially healthy. It can last.
Supportive ifCash from operations is expected to be positive in the next quarters.
Worry ifCash from operations is likely to stay negative in the next quarters.
Why it matters: Finishing the acquisition would boost growth and market strength.
Supportive ifNews that the acquisition is complete.
Worry ifNo news or delays about the acquisition by quarter's end.
Why it matters: Hitting this revenue target shows strong growth. It is key for future plans.
Supportive ifRevenue reported at or above $85 million for Fiscal Year 2027.
Worry ifRevenue reported below $85 million for Fiscal Year 2027.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$320 on $10,000 · ±3.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $836 loss on $10,000 · 8.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,271 loss on $10,000 · 52.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If LiveOne shows positive revenue growth, it may turn around in a tough market.
Supportive ifQ1 revenue growth turns positive year over year.
Worry ifQ1 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: A new partnership would support growth in B2B and expand the member base.
Supportive ifNews of a new big partnership this quarter.
Worry ifNo announcement of new partnerships by the end of the quarter.
Why it matters: This would indicate strong momentum towards the $85-$95M revenue target for Fiscal 2027.
Supportive ifQ2 Fiscal 2027 revenue was over $20 million.
Worry ifQ2 Fiscal 2027 revenue was under $19.4 million.
Why it matters: Hitting this target shows good cost control and better operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA was at least $8 million for Fiscal 2027.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was less than $4.3 million for Fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: New partnerships could enhance revenue growth and strengthen market position.
Supportive ifAnnouncement of at least one new major B2B partnership.
Worry ifNo new significant B2B partnerships announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Completing an acquisition could boost growth. It may also enhance LiveOne's market skills.
Supportive ifThere is news of a completed acquisition that adds value.
Worry ifNo acquisition completed by the end of Q2 Fiscal 2027.