LSI Industries, Inc. (LYTS)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$17.79-16.83%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyElectrical Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · LYTS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 21.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 39.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
LYTS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-20
above. A copy of the presentation, which is available at www.lsicorp.com, related to this conference call is attached as Exhibit 99.2 to this report and is incorporated by reference herein. LSI’s presentation discloses certain financial results both in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) and on a non-GAAP basis with adjustments for certain items. LSI’s management believes that presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures and their related reconciliations are…
Why it matters: Display sales rose 18% organically in Q4. Another gain would support the demand story in grocery and refueling.
Supportive ifThe next report shows Display Solutions organic sales growth above 0% year over year.
Worry ifThe next report shows Display Solutions organic sales below the prior year.
Why it matters: LSI plans to name a new CFO in the first half of 2027. An on-time choice would support an orderly handoff.
Watch forLSI names James Galeese's successor by June 30, 2027. His planned retirement remains set for August 31, 2027.
Also watch forLSI has not named a successor by June 30, 2027, or announces a change to the retirement plan.
Why it matters: LSI reported $39.0 million of free cash flow for fiscal 2026. Continued positive cash flow would show it can fund the business while carrying deal debt.
Supportive ifLSI reports positive free cash flow for the next full fiscal year.
Worry ifLSI reports negative free cash flow for the next full fiscal year.
Why it matters: The multi-year award is a new customer win. Site work would add to Display demand, but timing may vary.
Supportive ifLSI reports site releases or finished work in the oil company’s roughly 2,500-site program.
Worry ifLSI reports that the program has been delayed, reduced, or has no site releases.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $346 loss on $10,000 · 3.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,776 loss on $10,000 · 27.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Lighting sales fell 3% year over year in Q4, and orders were below last year in Q3. A sales rebound would ease that pressure.
Supportive ifLighting segment sales rise year over year, with orders at or above the prior-year level.
Worry ifLighting sales fall year over year again, or orders remain below the prior-year level.