Macy's (M)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
$23.05+2.58%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · M
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 13 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-06. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $23 M trades at 10× p/e, below its 15× p/e peer median. Our $29 fair value sits well above the price. It's a high-confidence read. Analysts target $22–$30. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $22.50 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $81.59 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $133.51 | — | — | Analyst | high |
| ddm gordon | 12M | $15.70 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$22.00 – $30.00 (median $22.50) · 4 analysts · as of 2026-07-06
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $29.63 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $45.25 | 10.5 | 4.69 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $87.28 | 15.8 | 5.51 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $34.12 | 14.7 | 2.32 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $58.99 | 0.8 | 71.86 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M | $20.43 | 9.3 | 2.20 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $20.42 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $22.58 | 10.3 | 2.20 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $36.83 | 15.1 | 2.44 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $41.02 | 14.7 | 2.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $76.73 | 0.8 | 93.47 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $25.90 | 9.3 | 2.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $28.62 | 10.3 | 2.79 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $49.95 | 14.7 | 3.40 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $93.43 | 0.8 | 113.81 | guidance | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $31.53 | 9.3 | 3.40 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $34.86 | 10.3 | 3.40 | Analyst | medium |