Macy's (M)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
$25.70+7.62%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryDepartment StoresSnapshot 2026-11-04
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Put M beside peers and holdings, graph the same metric, and keep your notes with the evidence.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
Industries move in repeating boom-and-bust cycles. This shows where this stock’s industry sits in that cycle, stage by stage (recovery → expansion → supercycle → steady → deceleration → contraction), from its fundamentals (orders, revenue, capital spending), not the stock’s price.
A booming industry is a tailwind for the names in it; a contracting one is a headwind. Companies in the same industry tend to rise and fall together with the cycle, the way a tide lifts and lowers every boat in the harbor at once, so a large part of a stock’s swing can come from where its industry sits rather than from the company itself. It’s context for reading the company’s results, not a buy/sell call. Full explanation →
Consumer Discretionary is in steady. Describes the industry's cycle state, not a call on this stock.
The stage band shows the industry’s cycle over the chart’s timeline (each color a stage); a ▼ marks a quarter its growth inflected down — amber is an unconfirmed watch, red is confirmed the next quarter. Use “Overlay cycle on chart” to tint the price chart by stage. The industry’s fundamentals, not a signal on this stock.
Primary pillar under pressure — Positive cash from operating activities: Cash from operations: $294M.
View ThesisMiddle-of-the-pack management execution.
View ManagementExpectations look reasonable — what the market is pricing in sits in line with or below what analysts forecast.
View ValuationModerate volatility — typically moves about 1% a day.
View RiskMacy's strong recent performance must continue to justify its valuation. Revenue growth is modest, with Q2 up 1.1% year over year. The company beat its Q2 earnings estimate by 70.3%. It trades at 11x earnings versus a 16x peer median. This discount suggests the market expects less growth than we see. The primary risk is operating cash flow pressure. Our model puts the next-quarter miss probability near 18%. Peer multiples imply a price about 25% above where it trades. The thesis is on watch. This read is provisional.
Trailing returns as of 2026-11-04. M is total return (includes dividends); the S&P 500 benchmark is price return (the index excludes dividends).
Based on 12 analysts currently covering M (as of Nov 2026).
Analyst ratings and price targets are third-party Wall Street estimates, not QuarterlyIQ’s view. Not investment advice.
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| Compare | Company | Living FV | P/E | Revenue % | Quality |
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| M Selected company | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Peer Add a competitor | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review | |
| Holding Compare a holding | Graph | Compare | Trend | Review |
Selected metric trend
Quarterly · checked companies · value or % of revenue
A consensus fair price across 12 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-11-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
A price-focused, side-by-side fair-value read versus Broadline Retail — fair value, gap to price, and forward P/E.
Compare the value case
Put M next to peers and holdings, compare Living FV and multiples, then graph the driver behind the difference.
Advances: Maintain disciplined capital allocation including share repurchases and dividen…
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
End-of-day figures as of 2026-11-04. EPS is implied from price ÷ P/E. Not investment advice.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Investment-grade rating supports disciplined capital allocation goals.
Rival gaining ad space could impact Macy's visibility.
Threatens: Drive comparable sales growth across all nameplates
Market share concerns could hinder comparable sales growth.
Advances: Drive comparable sales growth across all nameplates
Positive momentum in strategy supports sales growth objective.
Advances: Drive comparable sales growth across all nameplates
Reiterated rating suggests confidence in sales growth potential.
Threatens: Drive comparable sales growth across all nameplates
Full-year revenue guidance below estimates indicates sales growth issues.
Advances: Reimagine 200 stores initiative
Reimagined stores initiative aligns with growth objectives.
Advances: Drive comparable sales growth across all nameplates
Raising guidance indicates strong comparable sales growth.
