ManpowerGroup (MAN)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$46.93+3.23%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MAN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -28.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 3.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 32.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MAN — CEO transition
Dated 2026-10-15
CEO — Jonas Prising: The filing announces the planned retirement of the CEO and the appointment of an internal successor, representing an orderly succession rather than a sudden loss of leadership.
Why it matters: Experis U.S. turned to growth in Q3 after weaker trends. Another quarter of growth would back up the early recovery signal.
Supportive ifExperis U.S. revenue grows year over year again in Q4.
Worry ifExperis U.S. revenue falls year over year in Q4.
Why it matters: Management says the transformation is on track. Reaching the $200 million target would show that cost cuts are taking hold.
Supportive ifThe company reports that it has reached at least $200 million in permanent cost savings.
Worry ifThe company reports savings below $200 million or lowers the target.
Why it matters: The November claims reports offer a near-term read on U.S. hiring. Rising claims could add pressure to staffing demand.
Worry ifThe November 5, 12, or 19 weekly claims report shows claims above the prior report.
Less concerning ifAll three November weekly claims reports show claims at or below the prior report.
Why it matters: Management set this range for Q4. A result above it would point to stronger earnings; a result below it would weaken the outlook.
Watch forQ4 adjusted diluted EPS is above $1.13.
Also watch forQ4 adjusted diluted EPS is below $1.03.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$173 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $526 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,411 loss on $10,000 · 34.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.