ManpowerGroup (MAN)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$61.98+0.76%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MAN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -4.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 4.6% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 8.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
MAN — CEO appointment
Dated 2026-08-11
Director — John B. Gibson, Jr.: The filing discloses the appointment of a new independent director to the board, which is a standard governance event and not an executive management change.
Why it matters: This program aims for $200 million in cost savings by 2028. It shows good cost management.
Supportive ifManagement shares important updates on the program. They see clear cost savings.
Worry ifNo major updates or problems reported in the program.
Why it matters: Any change in the dividend payout shows management's view on cash flow and profits. It shows financial health and how they use capital.
Watch forManagement says the dividend payout will increase.
Also watch forManagement announces a decrease or stop of the dividend payout.
Why it matters: Strong demand in these regions supports overall revenue improvement. It shows market resilience.
Supportive ifRevenue growth in Asia Pacific and Latin America is 10% or more.
Worry ifRevenue growth in these regions reported below 5%.
Why it matters: A big drop in SG&A expenses shows better cost management. It shows the company is working efficiently.
Supportive ifSG&A expenses decrease by more than 10% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifSG&A expenses increase or decrease by less than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Job demand is affected by the economy. Strong signs can increase the need for staffing services.
Watch forGood trends in unemployment claims and job reports show stronger job demand.
Also watch forBad trends in these reports suggest weaker job demand.
Why it matters: This range shows if the company is growing its profits. It shows how well management is changing the company.
Supportive ifQ3 earnings per share were above $1.06. This shows strong performance.
Worry ifQ3 earnings per share were below $0.96. This suggests weaker performance.
Why it matters: Currency changes can impact earnings. Tracking this helps us see how the business is doing.
Watch forEarnings report shows a good currency impact over $0.02 per share.
Also watch forEarnings report shows a bad currency impact over $0.02 per share.
Why it matters: A higher gross profit margin means better cost control and stronger pricing power.
Supportive ifGross profit margin is above 16.5% in the next quarters.
Worry ifGross profit margin reported below 16.0%.
Why it matters: Gross profit margin trends show how well the company operates. It affects overall profits.
Watch forGross profit margin was above 16.6% in Q3. This shows better efficiency.
Also watch forGross profit margin was below 16.6% in Q3. This suggests operational problems.
Why it matters: Growth in the sector can affect ManpowerGroup's performance and outlook.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up to over 8% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth slows further below 8% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong U.S. revenue growth shows good market strategies and demand recovery. This helps overall revenue growth for the company.
Supportive ifU.S. revenue growth reported above 6% YoY.
Worry ifU.S. revenue growth reported below 6% YoY.
Why it matters: Progress on this program is key for saving costs and working better. It affects long-term profits.
Watch forManagement announces a big step in the program, like saving $100 million.
Also watch forManagement reports delays or problems in the change program.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows the company is doing well in the market. It shows demand is steady in different areas.
Supportive ifRevenue growth was above 8% year over year in key areas like the Americas and Southern Europe.
Worry ifRevenue growth was below 5% year over year. This shows demand is weak.
Why it matters: Keeping the dividend shows confidence in future earnings despite cash flow issues.
Supportive ifThe company maintains the $0.72 dividend per share in the next announcement.
Worry ifThe company cuts the dividend payout in the next announcement.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$204 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $553 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,601 loss on $10,000 · 36.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.