Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV)
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
$12.66+1.12%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicals - SpecialtySnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MATV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -29.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 3.8% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 33.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MATV — divestiture
Dated 2026-05-06
of this Report, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed to be "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any registration statement or other document filed under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing. SOURCE: Mativ Holdings, In…
Why it matters: Bruce Hausmann's skills may improve Mativ's financial plans and management.
Watch forGood plans or financial gains are shared after Hausmann starts.
Also watch forNo clear changes or bad news about plans after Hausmann starts.
Why it matters: Management aims to strengthen the balance sheet by reducing leverage. Progress here is key for long-term stability.
Supportive ifTotal debt decreases below $1 billion by the end of Q2 2026.
Worry ifTotal debt increases above $1.05 billion by the end of Q2 2026.
Why it matters: News on reducing debt will show how healthy the finances are.
Supportive ifManagement announces a reduction in debt levels by at least 10%.
Worry ifManagement reports no change or an increase in leverage.
Why it matters: Good pricing can increase revenue and market position.
Supportive ifRevenue growth exceeds 5% due to successful pricing actions.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains flat or declines despite pricing actions.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$171 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $471 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,094 loss on $10,000 · 50.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how Mativ is doing during sector challenges.
Watch forEarnings report shows revenue growth or better profit margins from last quarter.
Also watch forEarnings report shows more losses or lower revenue.
Why it matters: Growth in this segment is key for Mativ's overall performance. It shows demand strength.
Supportive ifSustainable & Adhesive Solutions sales grow more than 2.8% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifSales in Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions decline or grow less than 2.8% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial health and supports debt reduction efforts.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations exceeds $1 million in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains below $1 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA margin rose to 14.1% last quarter. More improvement shows good cost management.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 14.1% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops below 13.5% in Q3.
Why it matters: How the sector performs can affect Mativ's growth.
Watch forSector revenue growth turns positive after being negative for three years.
Also watch forSector revenue growth is still negative, showing ongoing decline.
Why it matters: Sales growth in this area is key for the company's success. It shows if changes are working.
Supportive ifFiltration & Advanced Materials segment sales grow year over year by more than 1%.
Worry ifSales in the Filtration & Advanced Materials segment are down from last year.
Why it matters: Reducing leverage will strengthen the balance sheet. This is key for long-term stability.
Supportive ifManagement announces a plan to reduce debt by at least 10% within the year.
Worry ifNo announcements on debt reduction or an increase in leverage.
Why it matters: Reducing net debt is key for the company's financial health and stability.
Supportive ifNet debt decreases further from $908.2 million in Q2.
Worry ifNet debt increases or remains above $908.2 million.