Mobileye Global Inc (MBLY)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$5.13-3.93%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MBLY
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 17.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 23 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MBLY — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026 Mobileye Global Inc. issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended September 26, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information contained in this Current Report on Form 8-K, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934…
Why it matters: EyeQ shipments grew 11% in the first nine months, while global car production fell 1%. Continued gains would support Mobileye's ADAS growth plan.
Supportive ifThe next company update shows EyeQ shipments grew faster than global vehicle output.
Worry ifThe next company update shows EyeQ shipments grew as fast as or slower than global vehicle production.
Why it matters: Q3 revenue fell 2% year over year. Meeting the full-year range would show that demand and product launches support growth.
Watch forQ4 results bring full-year revenue to at least $1,995 million, the low end of guidance.
Also watch forQ4 results put full-year revenue below $1,995 million.
Why it matters: The grant lifted reported 2026 operating results, but cash receipts are not due until 2028. Cash payment would confirm the benefit reaches the balance sheet.
Supportive ifA company filing confirms cash receipts tied to the 2026 R&D Law benefit begin in 2028.
Worry ifA company filing says the 2026 benefit will not be paid in cash, or cash receipts are delayed beyond 2028.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$222 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $595 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,026 loss on $10,000 · 60.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.