Marcus Corp. (The) (MCS)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
$28.05+2.94%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MCS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 16.2 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MCS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition . On October 29, 2026, The Marcus Corporation issued a press release announcing its financial results for its second quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
Why it matters: The sector signal points to a headwind and recent relative returns were weak. MCS revenue growth can show whether its two businesses keep expanding.
Watch forQ4 total revenue grows year over year, extending the Q3 increase of 13.1%.
Also watch forQ4 total revenue is flat or lower year over year.
Why it matters: Hotels beat their rival set by 1.2 points in Q3, excluding a new hotel. Continued gains would show demand and room rates remain strong.
Supportive ifComparable owned-hotel RevPAR growth beats its rival set in Q4. The Marc is excluded.
Worry ifComparable owned-hotel RevPAR growth trails its rival set in Q4. The Marc is excluded.
Why it matters: Q3 theatre revenue and attendance reached records. Strong holiday crowds would show that the film slate can keep that pace going.
Supportive ifQ4 same-store attendance grows year over year, and theatre revenue exceeds the Q4 2025 level.
Worry ifQ4 same-store attendance falls year over year, or theatre revenue is below the Q4 2025 level.
Why it matters: Hotels set a Q3 revenue record, but storm repairs and lost sales cut operating income and EBITDA. A rebound would show those costs are easing.
Supportive ifQ4 hotel operating income and Adjusted EBITDA both top their Q4 2025 levels. No storm-related loss is reported.
Worry ifQ4 hotel operating income or Adjusted EBITDA falls below its year-ago level. Storm costs or lost sales continue.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$109 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $285 loss on $10,000 · 2.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,504 loss on $10,000 · 15.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.