Marcus Corp. (The) (MCS)
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
NYSECommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MCS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $27 MCS trades at 59× p/e, in line with its 59× p/e peer median — but our blended $33 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: quality doesn't explain valuation multiples in this sub-industry, so the peer comparison is a weak guide. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $39.14 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $79.10 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $12.34 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $25.06 | 8.1 | 3.64 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price the business can't be justified by any reasonable horizon of the forecast growth; the price already runs past what the model can underwrite. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.05/sh owner earnings.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Cheaper than its own typical valuation.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $37.04 |
| 17.2 |
| 2.15 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $27.27 | 59.3 | 0.46 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $38.76 | 1.5 | 25.44 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $12.45 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $55.92 | 121.6 | 0.46 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $27.79 | 59.3 | 0.47 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $50.50 | 17.2 | 2.93 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $43.28 | 1.5 | 28.41 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $62.10 | 17.2 | 3.60 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $46.65 | 1.5 | 30.62 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |