Medallion Financial Corp. (MFIN)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Credit ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MFIN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 9 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $12 MFIN trades at 0.6× p/b, below its 1.6× p/b peer median. Our $17 fair value sits well above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ddm gordon | 12M | $5.42 | — | — | TTM | high |
| graham number | 12M | $25.10 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $32.85 | 1.6 | 21.05 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $29.51 | 4.4 | 6.64 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Roughly priced in line with peers.
Richer than its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $12.04 |
| 9.0 |
| 1.33 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $18.95 | 1.4 | 13.57 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $18.94 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $8.78 | 6.6 | 1.33 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $12.72 | 9.0 | 1.41 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $42.82 | 1.6 | 27.44 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $40.73 | 4.4 | 9.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $22.56 | 9.0 | 2.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $27.60 | 1.4 | 19.77 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $16.46 | 6.6 | 2.49 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $51.09 | 1.6 | 32.74 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $50.49 | 4.4 | 11.37 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $28.98 | 9.0 | 3.20 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $35.46 | 1.4 | 25.39 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $21.14 | 6.6 | 3.20 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |