MGE Energy, Inc. (MGEE)
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
$77.37-0.30%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQUtilitiesRegulated ElectricSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MGEE
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $77 MGEE trades at 2.0× p/b, in line with its 2.0× p/b peer median, and our $78 fair value agrees. It's a high-confidence read. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| graham number | 12M | $59.35 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer P/B | 12M | $75.28 | 2.0 | 38.46 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $93.84 | 23.1 | 4.07 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $59.75 | 2.9 | 20.53 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $42.15 |
| — |
| — |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $84.71 | 20.8 | 4.07 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $95.31 | 23.1 | 4.13 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $97.47 | 2.0 | 49.79 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $99.48 | 23.1 | 4.31 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $65.79 | 2.9 | 22.61 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $89.80 | 20.8 | 4.31 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $115.78 | 2.0 | 59.15 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $104.10 | 23.1 | 4.52 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $68.85 | 2.9 | 23.66 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $93.97 | 20.8 | 4.52 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |