Mohawk Industries (MHK)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$153.36+5.50%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MHK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 0.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MHK — CEO transition
Dated 2026-09-01
President — An Nuyttens: The filing announces the external hire of a new segment President to succeed an interim leader who is being promoted to CEO, representing a standard succession and staffing change rather than a loss of a sitting executive.
Why it matters: Mohawk completed its prior buyback plan and approved a new one. Share purchases would show continued cash returns to owners.
Supportive ifA filing or earnings release reports new share purchases under the $500 million plan.
Worry ifThe next earnings update reports no purchases under the new plan.
Why it matters: Mohawk said buyers are delaying home purchases and remodeling. Retail sales on November 17 offer a broad check on consumer spending.
Watch forThe November 17 Advance Monthly Retail Trade Report shows retail sales growth versus the prior month.
Also watch forThe November 17 report shows retail sales fell versus the prior month.
Why it matters: Management set Q4 adjusted EPS guidance at $1.35 to $1.45. A result below the range would show more pressure than planned.
Worry ifQ4 2026 adjusted EPS is below $1.35.
Less concerning ifQ4 2026 adjusted EPS is $1.35 or higher.
Why it matters: The projects aim to cut costs by about $60 million, but need cash and capital spending. Reported savings would show that the plan is working.
Supportive ifMohawk reports that the projects have delivered about $60 million in cost savings by the end of 2027.
Worry ifMohawk reports less than $60 million in savings by the end of 2027, or delays the plan past that date.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$181 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $345 loss on $10,000 · 3.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,110 loss on $10,000 · 31.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Adjusted sales in this segment fell 2% as price and mix rose. A volume rebound would show demand is improving beyond price gains.
Supportive ifFlooring Rest of the World adjusted volume is higher year over year in a later quarter.
Worry ifFlooring Rest of the World adjusted volume falls by 10% or more year over year again.