Miami International Holdings, Inc. (MIAX)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$34.49-1.37%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MIAX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -56.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 41.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MIAX — litigation filed
Dated 2026-07-21
Other Events. On July 20, 2026, the U.S. District Court for the District of New Jersey (the “Court”) entered an Order of Dismissal With Prejudice (the “Order”) that dismisses all claims for relief and counterclaims asserted in the previously disclosed litigation between Miami International Holdings, Inc. and certain of its subsidiaries (the “Company”) and Nasdaq, Inc. and certain of its subsidiaries (“Nasdaq”, such matter, the “Litigation”). The parties have now resolved all claims and counte…
Why it matters: The latest score fell 80 points after fresh results. Another decline would point to weaker company signals, despite revenue growth.
Worry ifThe company momentum score falls below -31.5 at the next earnings refresh.
Less concerning ifThe score rises above -31.5 at the next earnings refresh.
Why it matters: MIAX launched index and fertilizer futures. But Q3 futures revenue was nearly flat from a year earlier.
Supportive ifFutures net revenue rises above $5.0 million in a later quarter. The release links the growth to the new products.
Worry ifFutures net revenue stays at or below $5.0 million in the next two reported quarters, or falls year over year.
Why it matters: MIAX options volume rose, but revenue per contract fell 4.9%. A further drop could blunt revenue growth.
Worry ifOptions revenue per contract falls below $0.098 in the next reported quarter.
Less concerning ifOptions revenue per contract rises above $0.098. Options volume stays above 11 million contracts per day.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$222 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $437 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,801 loss on $10,000 · 48.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.