MarketWise, Inc. (MKTW)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$21.73+1.78%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Data & Stock ExchangesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MKTW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 82.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 75.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers
MKTW — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 6, 2026, MarketWise, Inc. (the “Company”) issued an earnings press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the earnings press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is herein incorporated by reference. The foregoing information (including Exhibit 99.1) is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities…
Why it matters: Billings show current customer sales. The $330 million goal is 21.7% above FY 2025.
Supportive ifFY 2026 billings reach or exceed $330 million, the raised company target.
Worry ifFY 2026 billings fall below $330 million, or management lowers the target.
Why it matters: Management plans to spend less on customer growth and raise margins in the second half. Full-year cash flow from operations is guided at $50 million.
Supportive ifFY 2026 cash from operations reaches or tops $50 million. Second-half margins are higher than first-half margins.
Worry ifFY 2026 cash from operations is below $50 million, or second-half margins do not rise.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$181 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $450 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,050 loss on $10,000 · 20.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.