Monro, Inc. (MNRO)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$12.11+4.13%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MNRO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -56.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 59.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
MNRO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-29
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 29, 2026, Monro, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the second quarter ended September 26, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information furnished pursuant to this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exch…
Why it matters: Comparable sales fell 1.8% in Q2. Growth would show more customers are spending at Monro.
Supportive ifIn a later quarter, comparable store sales rise from a year earlier. Gains extend beyond batteries and maintenance.
Worry ifComparable store sales fall from a year earlier again. Tires, brakes, or other service lines are weak.
Why it matters: Q2 operating costs rose to 34.3% of sales from 31.3%. Another rise would deepen the squeeze on operating income.
Worry ifIn a later quarter, operating costs exceed 34.3% of sales. Sales are flat or lower than a year earlier.
Less concerning ifOperating costs fall below 34.3% of sales. Operating income rises above Q2's 0.9% of sales.
Why it matters: The board declared a $0.28 dividend for Q2 even as Monro reported a net loss. A cut would mark a change in its payout.
Watch forThe board declares another quarterly dividend of at least $0.28 per share.
Also watch forThe board cuts or suspends the quarterly dividend below $0.28 per share.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$173 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $548 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,208 loss on $10,000 · 52.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.