Marqeta, Inc. (MQ)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
$16.58-2.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MQ
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 4 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $17 MQ trades at 2.6× p/s, below its 4.7× p/s peer median. Our $21 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with low confidence: its earnings are too depressed to value on P/E (we anchor on sales instead) and the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $47.93 | 30.0 | 1.60 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $11.50 | 27.8 | 0.41 | ntm analyst | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $29.79 | 4.7 | 6.34 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $6.67 | 40.3 | 0.17 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/E | 3Y |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
No fragility gates fired. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $14.96 |
| 27.8 |
| 0.54 |
| Hist. CAGR(prov.) |
| medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $44.62 | 4.7 | 9.50 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $19.46 | 27.8 | 0.70 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $58.05 | 4.7 | 12.36 | Analyst | medium |