Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$223.55+7.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · MRVL
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $224 MRVL trades at 75× p/e — 1.5× the 49× p/e peer median. The market is re-rating it beyond its own range; our $120 fair value is medium-confidence here. Analysts target $125–$400. Note: our $120 fair value sits below the entire analyst range ($125–$400). The flat-multiple read looks rich, but earnings are inflecting up — trailing growth is accelerating and forward estimates confirm — so we've softened our read rather than brand an accelerating name expensive. Even valued only for durable growth at sustainable margins, it's worth about $358 — above today's price, so the premium reflects that growth case, not pure multiple expansion. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| analyst target | 12M | $246.00 | — | — | Analyst | medium |
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $54.75 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $42.35 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | medium |
| graham number | 12M | $36.73 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| Peer P/FCF |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Top 25% on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
$125.00 – $400.00 (median $246.00) · 53 analysts · as of 2026-08-28
Only expensive valuation — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2026-Q2, 2026-Q3, 2027-Q1, 2027-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| 12M |
| $84.18 |
| 46.6 |
| 1.81 |
| TTM |
| medium |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $143.61 | 25.3 | 5.68 | ntm analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $84.86 | 8.3 | 10.26 | TTM | medium |
| PEG | 12M | $60.57 | 20.3 | 2.98 | TTM | medium |
| residual income | 12M | $22.53 | — | — | TTM | medium |
| triangulated | 12M | $150.77 | 49.4 | 3.05 | Triangulated | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $128.03 | 46.6 | 2.75 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | low |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $214.10 | 25.3 | 8.47 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $204.75 | 8.3 | 24.75 | Analyst | low |
| PEG | 3Y | $172.23 | 20.3 | 8.47 | Analyst | low |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $169.32 | 46.6 | 3.63 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $283.14 | 25.3 | 11.21 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $270.79 | 8.3 | 32.73 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $227.78 | 20.3 | 11.21 | Analyst | medium |